Date of Prediction: 2012-10-11 Version:20
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
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Version: 25 #INGOP FAIL Version: 22 Republicans narrowly take the Senate in this scenario - I think Republicans will overperform in Wisconsin, both Romney and Thompson, and I expect him to narrowly defeat "radical" Baldwin. Pennsylvania is a myth I've held for months, we'll see if it holds true. Akin really screwed up our chances at winning a majority. Version: 15 Annoyed we nominated Akin in Missouri - Steelman or Brunner would have been much better. We dodged a bullet in Wisconsin though - Thompson will win there easily. Version: 13 There's a lot that could change between now and November. A lot of races have the potential of being close, a lot of races have the potential of one candidate running away, similar to Ohio in 2010. Version: 9 I BELIEVE IN HEATHER WILSON. Version: 3 Closest States (In Order): Version: 2 This is the best possible map I can see happening for Democrats.
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