Just coming back in here and making this last minute update to my U.S. Senate map, because I don't believe that the nytimes.com blog, FiveThirtyEight has either the Montana or North Dakota U.S. Senate elections quite right in terms of predictions.

I decided to review some of the most current polling #'s in those two states and although the usual reliable Rasmussen has both Tester, D. and Heitkamp, D. down I notice that they use a much smaller sampling then most other polls. For example in Montana, the Public Policy Research group that has Tester, D. ahead of Rehberg, R. in a poll conducted the most recent of all polls November 2 - 3, they use 836 participants and with a 3.4% sampling accuracy rate as compared to Rasmussen using only less than 650 participants and with an accuracy rate of 4.0% sampling accuracy which is much worse and much less reliable. The same is true in North Dakota between the Pharos Research polling that has had Heitkamp, D. ahead of Berg, R. in North Dakota well the less reliable Mason-Dixon has not.

Therefore with that in mind, and I feel, YES, there will be some split ticket voting for President, U.S. Senate and Governor just like there will be in Missouri, Nevada and North Carolina in different set-ups of split ticket voting I will rate the following outcomes in the Montana and North Dakota U.S. Senate races:

Montana (based on the recent four polls with more participants that have Tester, D. ahead by a small margin):

Jon Tester, D. 48.75%
Denny Rehberg, R. 47. %
Dan Cox, L. 4.25%

Which will mean Libertarian Cox will siphon votes from both Tester and Rehberg, but much more from the latter challengers than the former incumbent. This will also benefit state Senator Kim Gillan in her winning the At-Large seat that Rehberg is vacating.

North Dakota (based on the last two more reliable and more substantial sampling Pharos Research polls which has had Heitkamp, D. barely ahead but above 50%):

Heidi Heitkamp, D. 50.75%
Rick Berg, R. 49.25%

This will also mean I'm going to change back to that former state Representative Pam Gulleson, D. defeats state Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer, R. in the election to replace Berg, R. in the At-Large U.S. House seat as that is a 3 person race.

I'm still going with the FiveThirtyEight blog in that Berkley, D. will lose to incumbent Heller, R. in Nevada but by a smaller margin then is being predicted currently and going into this election day.

Therefore I'm standing by my assessment that this election day will be thought of as the "Year of the Woman II" despite the loss by Berkley in Nevada as Democrat Heitkamp, D. joins Warren, D. in Massachusetts and Baldwin, D. in Wisconsin and Fischer, R. in Nebraska along with the other 6 Democratic women re-elected today and with the U.S. Senate reaching to a record 20 women members with 16 D 4 R women.