Comments History
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hideVersion: 26
2012 US Senate Election.
Solid Democratic
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
MN(Klobuchar-D)35D
RI(Whitehouse-D)36D
CA(Feinstein-D)37D
Solid Republican
WY(Barrasso-R)38R
MS(Wicker-R)39R
TN(Corker-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
TX(Cruz-R)42R
Likely Democratic
ME(King-I)38D
WV(Manchin-D)39D
PA(Casey-D)40D
WA(Cantwell-D)41D
NJ(Menendez-D)42D
HI(Hirono-D)43D
Likely Republican
NE(Fischer-R)43R
AZ(Flake-R)44R
Lean Democratic
NM(Heinrich-D)44D
FL(Nelson-D)45D
MO(McCaskill-D)46D
MI(Stabenow-D)47D
OH(Brown-D)48D
Lean Republican
WI(Thompson-R)45R
NV(Heller-R)46R
MT(Rehberg-R)47R
Tossup Democratic
VA(Kaine-D)49D
IN(Donnelly-D)50D
ND(Heitkamp-D)51D
Tossup Republican
MA(Brown-R)48R
CT(McMahon-R)49R
Version: 25
Republicans are strongly favored to win
WY(Barrasso-R)38R
MS(Wicker-R)39R
TN(Corker-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
TX(Cruz-R)42R
NE(Fischer-R)43R
AZ(Flake-R)44R
Democratics are strongly favored to win
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
MN(Klobuchar-D)35D
RI(Whitehouse-D)36D
CA(Feinstein-D)37D
ME(King-I)38D
PA(Casey-D)39D
WV(Manchin-D)40D
WA(Cantwell-D)41D
Version: 24
2012 US Senate Election
AZ(Flake-R vs Carmona-D)38R
CA(Feinstein-D vs Emken-R)31D
CT(Murphy-D vs McMahon-R)32D
DE(Carper-D vs Wade-R)33D
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)34D
HI(Hirono-D vs Lingle-R)35D
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D)????
ME(King-I vs Summers-R vs Dill-D)36D(King-I caucuses with the Democrats.
MD(Cardin-D vs Bongino-R)37D
MA(Brown-R vs Warren-D)38D
MI(Stabenow-D vs Hoekstra-R)39D
MN(Klobuchar-D vs Bills-R)40D
MS(Wicker-R vs Gore-D)39R
MO(McCaskill-D vs Akin-R)40R
MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R)???
NE(Kerrey-D vs Fischer-R)41R
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)???
NJ(Menendez-D vs Kryillos-R)41D
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)42D
NY(Gillibrand-D vs Long-R)43D
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Berg-R)42R
OH(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)44D
PA(Casey-D vs Smith-R)45D
RI(Whitehouse-D vs Hinckley-R)46D
TN(Corker-R vs Clayton-D)43R
TX(Cruz-R vs Sadler-D)44R
UT(Hatch-R vs Howell-D)45R
VT(Sanders-I vs MacGovern-R)47D
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)48D
WA(Cantwell-D vs Baumgartner-R)49D
WV(Manchin-D vs Raese-R)50D
WI(Baldwin-D vs Neumann-R)51D(Tea Party Republicans unite behind Neumann-R).
WY(Barrasso-R vs ???-D)46R
Democrats are going to keep the US Senate.
Version: 23
States that had their primaries.
CA(Feinstein-D vs Emken-R)31D
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D)38R
ME(King-I vs Summers-R vs Dill-D)- King-I wins and becomes the new Lieberman without bombing Iran. 32D
MD(Cardin-D vs Bongino-R)33D
MS(Wicker-R vs Gore-D)39R
MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R)40R
NE(Kerrey-D vs Fischer-R)41R
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)42R
NJ(Menendez-D vs Kryillos-R)34D
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)35D
NY(Gillibrand-D vs Long-R)36D
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Berg-R)43R
OH(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)37D
PA(Casey-D vs Smith-R)38D
RI(Whitehouse-D vs Hinckley-R)39D
TN(Corker-R vs Clayton-D)44R
TX(Cruz-R vs Sadler-D)45R
UT(Hatch-R vs Howell-D)46R
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)40D
WV(Manchin-D vs Raese-R)41D
Version: 22
Solid Democratic
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
MD(Cardin-D)33D
NY(Gillibrand-D)34D
RI(Whitehouse-D)35D
MN(Klobuchar-D)36D
CA(Feinstein-D)37D
Likely Democratic
ME(King-I)38D
WV(Manchin-D)39D
PA(Casey-D)40D
WA(Cantwell-D)41D
MI(Stabenow-D)42D
Lean Democratic
NJ(Menendez-D)43D
CT(Murphy-D)44D
HI(Hirono-D)45D
OH(Brown-D)46D
NM(Heinrich-D)47D
Tossup Democratic
WI(Baldwin-D vs Hovde-R)48D
MA(Warren-D vs Brown-R)49D
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)50D
No Clear Favorite
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Berg-R)38R
Tossup Republican
IN(Donnelly-D vs Mourdock-R)39R
MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R)40R
Lean Republican
MO(Brunner-R)41R
NV(Heller-R)42R
Likely Republican
AZ(Flake-R)43R
NE(Fischer-R)44R
Solid Republican
TX(Cruz-R)45R
UT(Hatch-R)46R
MS(Wicker-R)47R
TN(Corker-R)48R
WY(Barrasso-R)49R
Version: 21
2012 US Senate Election.
States Democrats are favored to win by a double digit margin.
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
RI(Whitehouse-D)35D
CA(Feinstein-D)36D
ME(King-I)37D
WV(Manchin-D)38D
MN(Klobuchar-D)39D
PA(Casey-D)40D
WA(Cantwell-D)41D
NJ(Menendez-D)42D
MI(Stabenow-D)43D
CT(Murphy-D)44D
HI(Hirono-D)45D
States Republicans are favored to win by a double digit margin.
WY(Barrasso-R)38R
TN(Corker-R)39R
MS(Wicker-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
TX(Cruz-R)42R
NE(Fischer-R)43R
Version: 20
2012 US Senate Election.
Democrats are favored to win
CA(Feinstein-D)31D
CT(Murphy-D)32D
DE(Carper-D)33D
HI(Hirono-D)34D
ME(King-I)35D-Wins a 3 way race against a generic R and generic D.-caucuses with the Democrats.
MD(Cardin-D)36D
MI(Stabenow-D)37D
MN(Klobuchar-D)38D
NJ(Menendez-D)39D
NM(Heinrich-D)40D
NY(Gillibrand-D)41D
OH(Brown-D)42D
PA(Casey-D)43D
RI(Whitehouse-D)44D
VT(Sanders-I)45D
WA(Cantwell-D)46D
WV(Manchin-D)47D
plus
WI(Baldwin-D)48D-faces the more conservative and more unelectable candidate in the November General Election(Hovde-R).
VA(Kaine-D)49D-Macaca II
MA(Warren-D)50D-Obama-D coattails.
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)
MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R)
IN(Donnelly-D vs Mourdock-R)
Version: 19
2012 US Senate Election.
Solid Democratic
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
MN(Klobuchar-D)35D
RI(Whitehouse-D)36D
CA(Feinstein-D)37D
Likely Democratic
ME(King-I)38D
WV(Manchin-D)39D
WA(Cantwell-D)40D
PA(Casey-D)41D
NJ(Menendez-D)42D
Lean Democratic
MI(Stabenow-D)43D
OH(Brown-D)44D
HI(Hirono-D)45D
CT(Murphy-D)46D
NM(Heinrich-D)47D
Tossup Democratic
WI(Baldwin-D)48D-faces Hovde-R in the November General Election.
FL(Nelson-D)49D-narrowly defeats Mack-R.
VA(Kaine-D)50D-narrowly defeats Allen-R.
MA(Warren-D)51D-narrowly defeats Brown-R.
Seats to watch.
IN(Donnelly-D vs Mourdock-R)
MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R)
NV(Berkley-D vs Heller-R)
MO(McCaskill-D vs Brunner-R)
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Berg-R)
Republicans win
AZ(Flake-R)38R
NE(Fischer-R)39R
TX(Cruz-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
MS(Wicker-R)42R
TN(Corker-R)43R
WY(Barrasso-R)44R
Version: 18
2012 US Senate Election.
Democrats are going to win
VT(Sanders-I)and ME(King-I)-Independents caucusing with Democrats. 32D
DE(Carper-D)33D
NY(Gillibrand-D)34D
MD(Cardin-D)35D
MN(Klobuchar-D)36D
RI(Whitehouse-D)37D
CA(Feinstein-D)38D
WV(Manchin-D)39D
PA(Casey-D)40D
WA(Cantwell-D)41D
NJ(Menendez-D)42D
MI(Stabenow-D)43D
OH(Brown-D)44D
CT(Murphy-D)45D
HI(Hirono-D)46D
NM(Heinrich-D)47D
Republicans are going to win.
WY(Barrasso-R)38R
TN(Corker-R)39R
MS(Wicker-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
TX(Cruz-R)42R
NE(Fischer-R)43R
AZ(Flake-R)44R
ND(Berg-R)45R
IN(Mourdock-R)46R
MO(Brunner-R)47R
MT(Rehberg-R)48R
NV(Heller-R)49R
The Tossup Races are
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R),VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R),MA(Warren-D vs Brown-R),and WI(Baldwin-D vs Hovde-R).
Version: 17
2012 US Senate Election.
Senate Races Democrats win by a double digit margin.
CA(Feinstein-D),DE(Carper-D),MD(Cardin-D),MI(Stabenow-D),MN(Klobuchar-D),NJ(Menendez-D),NY(Gillibrand-D),OH(Brown-D),PA(Casey-D),RI(Whitehouse-D),WA(Cantwell-D),and WV(Manchin-D)=42D
Senate Races Democrats win by at least by a high single digit margin.
CT(Murphy-D),HI(Hirono-D),and NM(Heinrich-D)=45D
Senate Races Democrats win by at least a narrow margin.
FL(Nelson-D) and VA(Kaine-D)=47D
ME(King-I) and VT(Sanders-I) are Independents who are going to caucus with Democrats= 49D
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D),MA(Brown-R vs Warren-D),and WI(Baldwin-D vs Thompson-R or Hovde-R) are likely to either way.
Democrats win MA(Warren-D) and perhaps WI(Baldwin-D)-depending on Hovde-R winning the Republican Primary.
MO(McCaskill-D vs Brunner-R),MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R),and NV(Berkley-D vs Heller-R). Democrats lose by a narrow margin. 40R
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Berg-R)-Democrats lose by a high single digit margin. 41R.
AZ(Flake-R vs Carmona-D),NE(Kerrey-D vs Fischer-R),TX(Cruz-R or Dewhurst-R),UT(Hatch-R),MS(Wicker-R),TN(Corker-R),and WY(Barrasso-R). Republicans win by a double digit margin. 48R.
Democrats win MA(Warren-D)50D.
Version: 16
2012 US Senate Election.
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
RI(Whitehouse-D)35D
CA(Feinstein-D)36D
MN(Klobuchar-D)37D
PA(Casey-D)38D
WA(Cantwell-D)39D
WV(Manchin-D)40D
NJ(Menendez-D)41D
MI(Stabenow-D)42D
OH(Brown-D)43D
CT(Murphy-D)44D
HI(Hirino-D)45D
NM(Heinrich-D)46D
FL(Nelson-D)47D
VA(Kaine-D)48D
ME(King-I)49D
Emily's List.
MA(Warren-D)Brown-R 50D
WI(Baldwin-D)Hovde-R 51D
NV(Berkley-D)Heller-R
MO(McCaskill-D)Brunner-R
ND(Heitkamp-D)Berg-R
Statistical Tie.
MT(Tester-D)Rehberg-R
IN(Donnelly-D)Mourdock-R
Underdog
AZ(Carmona-D)Flake-R 38R
NE(Kerrey-D)Fischer-R 39R
TX(Cruz-R or Dewhurst-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
MS(Wicker-R)42R
TN(Corker-R)43R
WY(Barrasso-R)44R
Version: 15
2012 US Senate Election
Solid Democratic
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
RI(Whitehouse-D)35D
CA(Feinstein-D)36D
MN(Klobuchar-D)37D
Likely Democratic
ME(King-I)38D
WV(Manchin-D)39D
WA(Cantwell-D)40D
PA(Casey-D)41D
NJ(Menendez-D)42D
MI(Stabenow-D)43D
Lean Democratic
OH(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)44D
CT(Murphy-D vs McMahon-R)45D
HI(Hirono-D vs Lingle-R)46D
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)47D
Tossup Democratic
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)48D
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)49D
WI(Baldwin-D vs Hovde-R)50D(Hovde-R defeats Thompson-R in the Republican Primary).
MA(Warren-D vs Brown-R)51D.
Tossup Republican
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)
The NV US Senate Race is going to be tough to predict. Unlike Warren(D-MA)- Berkley(D-NV) is running in a state that is highly competitive at the Presidential Level. and Unlike Baldwin(D-WI) who is going to face a generic Republican in the November General Election. Berkley-D is running against a Top Tier Republican opponent.
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D)
MT(Rehberg-R vs Tester-D)
MO(Brunner-R vs McCaskill-D)
ND(Berg-R vs Heitkamp-D)
I would not surpised if Democrats were to win one of those seats due to Republican Nominee being involved in controversy.
Lean Republican
AZ(Flake-R vs Carmona-D)
Likely Republican
NE(Fischer-R vs Kerrey-D)
Solid Republican
TX(Cruz-R)
UT(Hatch-R)
MS(Wicker-R)
TN(Corker-R)
WY(Barrasso-R)
Version: 14
2012 US Senate Election
ME(King-I)Caucuses with the Democrats. 31D
VT(Sanders-I)Caucuses with the Democrats.32D
MA(Warren-D)-defeats Brown-R by a narrow margin. 33D
RI(Whitehouse-D)34D
CT(Murphy-D)-defeats McMahon-R by a double digit margin. 35D
NY(Gillibrand-D)36D
PA(Casey-D)37D
NJ(Menendez-D)38D
DE(Carper-D)39D
MD(Cardin-D)40D
VA(Kaine-D)-defeats Allen-R by a narrow margin. 41D
FL(Nelson-D)-defeats Mack-R by a narrow margin. 42D
MS(Wicker-R)38R
TX(Cruz-R)39R
TN(Corker-R)40R
WV(Manchin-D)-defeats Raese-R by a double digit margin. 43D
OH(Brown-D)-defeats Mandel-R by a double digit margin. 44D
MI(Stabenow-D)-defeats Hoekstra-R by a double digit margin. 45D
IN(Mourdock-R)-defeats Donnelly-D by a narrow margin. 41R
WI(Baldwin-D)-Hovde-R defeats Thompson-R in the Republican primary. Baldwin-D narrowly defeats Hovde-R in the November General Election. 46D
MN(Klobuchar-D)47D
MO(Brunner-R)-defeats Steelman-R and Akin-R in the Republican Primary- and defeats McCaskill-D in the November General Election. 42R
NE(Fischer-R)43R
ND(Berg-R)-defeats Heitkamp-D by a high single digit margin. 44R
MT(Rehberg-R)-narrowly defeats Tester-D. Tester-D prepares for a future US Senate Run in 2014-assuming Baucus-D retires. 45R
WY(Barrasso-R)46R
UT(Hatch-R)47R
NM(Heinrich-D)-defeats Wilson-R by a high single digit margin. 48D
AZ(Flake-R)-defeats Carmona-D by a double digit margin. 48R
NV(Heller-R)-narrowly defeats Berkley-D. 49R
CA(Feinstein-D)49D
WA(Cantwell-D)50D
HI(Hirono-D)-defeats Case-D in the Democratic primary and Lingle-R in the General Election by a double digit margin. 51D
Version: 13
2012 US Senate Election
Solid Republican
WY(Barrasso-R)38R
UT(Hatch-R)39R
TN(Corker-R)40R
MS(Wicker-R)41R
Likely Republican
TX(Cruz-R or Dewhurst-R)42R
NE(Fischer-R)43R
AZ(Flake-R)44R
Lean Republican
ND(Berg-R vs Heitkamp-D)45R- Heitkamp-D is a stronger candidate than Berg-R but ND is a red state and their are other high profile US Senate Races- Democrats need to focus on ie FL,MA,MO,MT,and WI.
Solid Democratic
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
MN(Klobuchar-D)35D
RI(Whitehouse-D)36D
CA(Feinstein-D)37D
Likely Democratic
ME(King-I)38D(King-I caucuses with the Democrats).
WV(Manchin-D)39D
WA(Cantwell-D)40D
PA(Casey-D)41D
MI(Stabenow-D)42D
NJ(Menendez-D)43D
Lean Democratic
CT(Murphy-D vs McMahon-R)44D
HI(Hirono-D vs Lingle-R)45D
Murphy(D-CT) and Hirono(D-HI) win by a high single digit/low double digit margin.
OH(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)46D. Brown-D wins re-election with over 55% of the popular vote.(Reverse Coattails).
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)47D Heinrich-D wins by a high single digit margin.
Tossup Democratic.
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)48D. Nelson-D margin of victory is similar to his 2000 US Senate Victory over McCollum-R.
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)49D. Kaine-D margin of victory is greater than Webb-D 2006 victory over Allen-R.
MA(Warren-D vs Brown-R)50D. Close Race but Warren-D is going to be the projected winner on election day.
The Too Close to Call US Senate Races are going to be in
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D)
MO(McCaskill-D vs Brunner-R or Steelman-R)
MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R)
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)
WI(Baldwin-D vs Hovde-R or Thompson-R)
Version: 12
2012 US Senate Election
Solid Democratic
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
MN(Klobuchar-D)35D
RI(Whitehouse-D)36D
CA(Feinstein-D)37D
Likely Democratic
ME(King-I)38D
WV(Manchin-D)39D
WA(Cantwell-D)40D
PA(Casey-D)41D
MI(Stabenow-D)42D
NJ(Menendez-D)43D
Lean Democratic
OH(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)44D
CT(Murphy-D vs McMahon-R)45D
HI(Hirono-D vs Lingle-R)46D
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)47D
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)48D
Tossup Democratic
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)49D
MA(Warren-D vs Brown-R)50D
No Clear Favorite
IN(Donnelly-D vs Mourdock-R)
WI(Baldwin-D vs Hovde-R)
Tossup Republican
MT(Rehberg-R vs Tester-D)38R
NV(Heller-R vs Berkely-D)39R
Lean Republican
MO(Brunner-R vs McCaskill-D)40R
ND(Berg-R vs Heitkamp-D)41R
Likely Republican
AZ(Flake-R vs Carmona-D)42R
NE(Fischer-R vs Kerrey-D)43R
TX(Cruz-R vs Sadler-D)44R
Solid Republican
UT(Hatch-R)45R
MS(Wicker-R)46R
TN(Corker-R)47R
WY(Barrasso-R)48R
Version: 11
Solid Republican
WY(Barrasso-R)38R
TN(Corker-R)39R
MS(Wicker-R vs Gore-D)40R
UT(Hatch-R vs Howell-D)41R
Likely Republican
TX(Cruz-R vs Sadler-D)42R
NE(Fischer-R vs Kerrey-D)43R
AZ(Flake-R vs Carmona-D)44R
Lean Republican
ND(Berg-R vs Heitkamp-D)45R
MO(Brunner-R vs McCaskill-D)46R
Tossup Republican
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)47R
MT(Rehberg-R vs Tester-D)48R
No Clear Favorite
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D)
Tossup Democratic
WI(Baldwin-D vs Hovde-R)31D
MA(Warren-D vs Brown-R)32D
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)33D
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)34D
Lean Democratic
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)35D
OH(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)36D
HI(Hirono-D vs Lingle-R)37D
MI(Stabenow-D vs Hoekstra-R)38D
CT(Murphy-D vs McMahon-R)39D
Likely Democratic
NJ(Menendez-D vs Kryillos-R)40D
WA(Cantwell-D vs Baumgartner-R)41D
PA(Casey-D vs Smith-R)42D
MN(Klobuchar-D vs Bills-R)43D
WV(Manchin-D vs Raese-R)44D
Solid Democratic
CA(Feinstein-D vs Emken-R)45D
NY(Gillibrand-D vs Long-R)46D
MD(Cardin-D vs Bongino-R)47D
RI(Whitehouse-D vs Hinckley-R)48D
DE(Carper-D vs Wade-R)49D
Solid Independent/Democratic
VT(Sanders-I)50D
ME(King-I)51D
Version: 10
Republican are favored to win
WY(Barrasso-R)38R
UT(Hatch-R)39R
TN(Corker-R)40R
MS(Wicker-R)41R
TX(Cruz-R)42R
NE(Fischer-R)43R
AZ(Flake-R)44R
Republicans have a 50-50 chance of winning
ND(Berg-R vs Heitkamp-D)45R
MT(Rehberg-R vs Tester-D)46R
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)47R
MO(Brunner-R vs McCaskill-D)48R
WI(Hovde-R vs Baldwin-D)49R
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D)50R
Baldwin(D-WI) will benifit from Obama-D coattails. Donnelly(D-IN) will benifit from series of gaffes Mourdock(R-IN) will make on the campaign trail.
Democrats are slightly favored to win
MA(Warren-D vs Brown-R)31D
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)32D
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)33D
Democrats are favored to win
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)34D
OH(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)35D
HI(Hirono-D vs Lingle-R)36D
CT(Murphy-D vs McMahon-R)37D
MI(Stabenow-D vs Hoekstra-R)38D
NJ(Menendez-D vs Kryillos-R)39D
WA(Cantwell-D vs Baumgartner-R)40D
WV(Manchin-D vs Raese-R)41D
MN(Klobuchar-D vs Bills-R)42D
PA(Casey-D vs Smith-R)43D
CA(Feinstein-D vs Emken-R)44D
MD(Cardin-D vs Bongino-R)45D
NY(Gillibrand-D vs Long-R)46D
RI(Whitehouse-D vs Hinckley-R)47D
DE(Carper-D vs Wade-R)48D
VT(Sanders-I)49D
ME(King-I)50D
Version: 9
ME(King-I vs Summers-R vs Dill-D)King-I
VT(Sanders-I vs Paige-R)Sanders-I 31D
MA(Brown-R vs Warren-D) Warren-D 32D
RI(Whitehouse-D vs Hinckley-R)Whitehouse-D 33D
CT(Murphy-D vs McMahon-R)Murphy-D 34D
NY(Gillibrand-D vs Long-R)Gillibrand-D 35D
PA(Casey-D vs Smith-R)Casey-D 36D
NJ(Menendez-D vs Kryillos-R)Menendez-D 37D
DE(Carper-D vs Wade-R)Carper-D 38D
MD(Cardin-D vs Bongino-R)Cardin-D 39D
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)Kaine-D 40D
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)Nelson-D 41D
MS(Wicker-R vs Gore-D)Wicker-R 38R
TX(Cruz-R vs Sadler-D)Cruz-R 39R
TN(Corker-R vs Clayton-D)Corker-R 40R
WV(Manchin-D vs Raese-R)Manchin-D 42D
OH(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)Brown-D 43D
MI(Stabenow-D vs Hoekstra-R)Stabenow-D 44D
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D)Donnelly-D 45D
WI(Baldwin-D vs Hovde-R)Baldwin-D 46D
MN(Klobuchar-D vs Bills-R)Klobuchar-D 47D
M0(McCaskill-D vs Brunner-R)Brunner-R 41R
NE(Kerrey-D vs Fischer-R)Fischer-R 42R
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Berg-R)Heitkamp-D 48D
MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R)Tester-D 49D
WY(Barrasso-R vs Chesnut-D)Barrasso-R 43R
UT(Hatch-R vs Howell-D)Hatch-R 44R
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)Heinrich-D 50D
AZ(Flake-R vs Carmona-D)Flake-R 45R
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)Heller-R 46R
CA(Feinstein-D vs Emken-R)Feinstein-D 51D
WA(Cantwell-D vs Baumgartner-R)Cantwell-D 52D
HI(Hirono-D vs Lingle-R)Hirono-D 53D
Democrats have majority control of the US Senate-without President Obama-D and Senator King(I-ME).
Version: 8
Likely/Solid Democratic
VT(Sanders-I)31D
RI(Whitehouse-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
NJ(Menendez-D)34D
DE(Carper-D)35D
MD(Cardin-D)36D
PA(Casey-D)37D
WV(Manchin-D)38D
MI(Stabenow-D)39D
MN(Klobuchar-D)40D
WA(Cantwell-D)41D
CA(Feinstein-D)42D
Likely/Solid Republican
TN(Corker-R)38R
MS(Wicker-R)39R
TX(Cruz-R)40R
NE(Fischer-R)41R
WY(Barraso-R)42R
UT(Hatch-R)43R
Version: 7
Likely Takeover
1)ME(King-I)31D
2)NE(Fischer-R)38R
Lean Takeover
3)MO(Brunner-R)39R
Tossup
4)WI(Hovde-R)40R
5)MT(Rehberg-R)41R
6)ND(Berg-R)42R
7)MA(Warren-D)32D
8)IN(Mourdock-R)43R
9)VA(Kaine-D)33D
10)NV(Heller-R)44R
11)FL(Nelson-D)34D
Lean Retention
12)NM(Heinrich-D)35D
13)HI(Hirono-D)36D
14)CT(Murphy-D)37D
15)AZ(Flake-R)45R
16)OH(Brown-D)38D
Likely Retention
17)MI(Stabenow-D)39D
18)NJ(Menendez-D)40D
19)WA(Cantwell-D)41D
20)WV(Manchin-D)42D
21)TX(Cruz-R)46R
Safe
22)MN(Klobuchar-D)43D
23)PA(Casey-D)44D
24)UT(Hatch-R)47R
25)CA(Feinstein-D)45D
26)RI(Whitehouse-D)46D
27)MS(Wicker-R)48R
28)NY(Gillibrand-D)47D
29)MD(Cardin-D)48D
30)TN(Corker-R)49R
31)DE(Carper-D)49D
32)WY(Barrasso-R)50R
33)VT(Sanders-I)50D
Version: 6
Democrats are strongly favored to win
ME(King-I)31D
VT(Sanders-I)32D
RI(Whitehouse-D)33D
CT(Murphy-D)34D
NY(Gillibrand-D)35D
NJ(Menendez-D)36D
DE(Carper-D)37D
MD(Cardin-D)38D
PA(Casey-D)39D
WV(Manchin-D)40D
OH(Brown-D)41D
MI(Stabenow-D)42D
MN(Klobuchar-D)43D
WA(Cantwell-D)44D
CA(Feinstein-D)45D
HI(Hirono-D)46D
Republicans are strongly favored to win
TN(Corker-R)38R
MS(Wicker-R)39R
TX(Cruz-R or Dewhurst-R)40R
NE(Fischer-R)41R
WY(Barrasso-R)42R
UT(Hatch-R)43R
AZ(Flake-R)44R
Version: 5
Democrats win by a double digit margin.
VT(Sanders-I)31D
ME(King-I)32D
DE(Carper-D)33D
RI(Whitehouse-D)34D
MD(Cardin-D)35D
NY(Gillibrand-D)36D
CA(Feinstein-D)37D
WV(Manchin-D)38D
MN(Klobuchar-D)39D
PA(Casey-D)40D
WA(Cantwell-D)41D
NJ(Menendez-D)42D
MI(Stabenow-D)43D
OH(Brown-D)44D
HI(Hirono-D)45D
CT(Murphy-D)46D
McMahon(R-CT),Lingle(R-HI),and Mandel(R-OH)will recieve less than 45% of the popular vote.
Republicans win by a double digit margin.
WY(Barrasso-R)38R
MS(Wicker-R)39R
TN(Corker-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
TX(Dewhurst-R)42R
NE(Fischer-R)43R
AZ(Flake-R)44R.
Democrats win by a high single digit margin.
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)47D
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)48D
Republicans win by a high single digit margin.
WI(Thompson-R vs Baldwin-D)45R
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)46R
MO(Steelman-R vs McCaskill-D)47R.
Democrats win by a narrow margin.
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)49D
MA(Warren-D vs Brown-R)50D
Republicans win by a narrow margin.
ND(Berg-R vs Heitkamp-D)
MT(Rehberg-R vs Tester-D)
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D
Version: 4
Democratic Incumbents who are strongly favored to win re-election.
VT(Sanders-I)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
RI(Whitehouse-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
NY(Gillibrand-D)35D
CA(Feinstein-D)36D
WV(Manchin-D)37D
MN(Klobuchar-D)38D
PA(Casey-D)39D
WA(Cantwell-D)40D
NJ(Menendez-D)41D
MI(Stabenow-D)42D
OH(Brown-D)43D
Democratic Incumbents who are slightly favored to win.
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)44D
Democratic Incumbents who have a 50-50 chance of winning re-election.
MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R).
Democratic Incumbents who are likely to face defeat.
MO(McCaskill-D vs Steelman-R)38R.
Open Democratic Held US Senate Seats likely to remain in the Democratic collumn
CT(Murphy-D vs McMahon-R)45D
HI(Hirono-D vs Lingle-R)46D
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)47D
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)48D
OPEN Democratic held US Senate Seat that could go either way.
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Berg-R).
WIa(Baldwin-D vs Neumnann-R)Lean Democratic.
WIb(Baldwin-D vs Thompson-R)Lean Republican.
OPEN Democratic held US Senate Seat that is going Republican.
NE(Kerrey-D vs Fischer-R)39R.
Republican Incumbents favored to win re-election.
WY(Barrasso-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
TN(Corker-R)42R
MS(Wicker-R)43R.
Republican Incumbents who have a 50-50 chance of winning re-election.
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)
Republican Incumbents who are likely to be defeated.
MA(Brown-R vs Warren-D)49D
OPEN Republican Held Seats likely to remain in the Republican collumn.
TX(Dewhurst-R vs Sadler-D)44R
AZ(Flake-R vs Carmona-D)45R
OPEN Republican held Seats that could go either way.
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D)
OPEN Republican held Seat that is likely to go Democratic.
ME(King-I vs Summers-R vs Dill-D)-King-I is likely to caucus with the Democratic. 50D.
Version: 3
2012 US Senate Election.
Republican Favored
UT(Hatch-R)38R
WY(Barrasso-R)39R
MS(Wicker-R)40R
TN(Corker-R)41R
TX(Dewhurst-R)42R
NE(Fischer-R)43R
AZ(Flake-R)44R
Democratic Favored
VT(Sanders-I/D)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
NY(Gillibrand-D)33D
MD(Cardin-D)34D
RI(Whitehouse-D)35D
CA(Feinstein-D)36D
WV(Manchin-D)37D
MN(Klobuchar-D)38D
PA(Casey-D)39D
WA(Cantwell-D)40D
NJ(Menendez-D)41D
MI(Stabenow-D)42D
OH(Brown-D)43D
HI(Hirono-D)44D
CT(Murphy-D)45D
ME(King-I/D)46D
Lean Republican
IN(Mourdock-R)45R
MO(Steelman-R)46R
ND(Berg-R)47R
MT(Rehberg-R)48R
Lean Democratic
FL(Nelson-D)47D
NM(Heinrich-D)48D
VA(Kaine-D)49D
MA(Warren-D)50D
NV(Berkley-D)51D
WI(Baldwin-D)52D
Version: 2
2012 US Senate Election.
WY(Barrasso-R)38R
MS(Wicker-R)39R
TN(Corker-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
TX(Dewhurst-R)42R
NE(Fischer-R)43R
AZ(Flake-R)44R
MO(Steelman-R vs McCaskil-D)45R
ND(Berg-R vs Heitkamp-D)46R
NV(Heller-R vs Berkley-D)47R
WI(Thompson-R vs Baldwin-D)48R
IN(Mourdock-R vs Donnelly-D)49R
MT(Rehberg-R vs Tester-D)50R
MA(Warren-D vs Brown-R)31D
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R)32D
NM(Heinrich-D vs Wilson-R)33D
FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R)34D
OH(Brown-D vs Mandel-R)35D
CT(Murphy-D vs McMahon-R)36D
HI(Hirono-D vs Lingle-R)37D
ME(King-I)38D
NJ(Menendez-D)39D
MI(Stabenow-D)40D
WV(Manchin-D)41D
WA(Cantwell-D)42D
PA(Casey-D)43D
MN(Klobuchar-D)44D
RI(Whitehouse-D)45D
CA(Feinstein-D)46D
MD(Cardin-D)47D
NY(Gillibrand-D)48D
DE(Carper-D)49D
VT(Sanders-I)50D
Donnelly(D-IN),Tester(D-MT),and Heitkamp(D-ND) have a 50-50 chance of winning.
Version: 1
2012 US Senate Election.
Democratic Incumbent US Senators up for re-election in 2012 who are coming back next year.
CA(Feinstein-D)31D
DE(Carper-D)32D
FL(Nelson-D)33D(competitive)
MD(Cardin-D)34D
MI(Stabenow-D)35D(potentially competitive)
MN(Klobuchar-D)36D
NJ(Menendez-D)37D(potentially competitive)
NY(Gillibrand-D)38D
OH(Brown-D)39D(competitive)
PA(Casey-D)40D
RI(Whitehouse-D)41D
VT(Sanders-I/D)42D
WA(Cantwell-D)43D
WV(Manchin-D)44D
Retiring Democratic Incumbents who are likely to be replaced by a Democrat.
CT(Murphy-D)45D (competitive)
HI(Hirono-D)46D (competitive)
NM(Heinrich-D)47D (highly competitive)
VA(Kaine-D)48D (highly competitive)
Republican Incumbent US Senators up for re-election in 2012 who are coming back next year.
MS(Wicker-R)38R
NV(Heller-R)39R(Highly Competitive)
TN(Corker-R)40R
UT(Hatch-R)41R
WY(Barrasso-R)42R
Retiring Republican Incumbents who are likely to be replaced by a Republican.
AZ(Flake-R)43R(competitive)
IN(Mourdock-R)44R (highly competitive)
TX(Dewhurst-R)45R
Retiring Democratic incumbents who are likely to be replaced by a Republican.
NE(Fischer-R)46R
ND(Berg-R)47R(highly competitive)
WI(Thompson-R)48R(highly competitive)
Retiring Republican incumbents who are likely to be replaced by a Democrat.
ME(King-I/D)49D-caucus with the Senate Democrats-once he gets into the US Senate.
Democratic incumbent US Senator up for re-election in 2012 that is likely to get defeated.
MO(McCaskill-D loses to Steelman-R)=49R
MT(Tester-D loses to Rehberg-R)=50R
Republican incumbent US Senator up for re-election in 2012 who is likely to lose re-election.
MA(Brown-R loses to Warren-D)=50D
The control of the US Senate will depend on who wins the 2012 US Presidential Election. Obama/Biden-D wins Democrats control the US Senate-assuming King(I-ME)caucuses with the Democrats and Warren(D-MA)wins the Tossup MA US Senate Race against Brown(R-MA). In order for Democrats to keep majority in the US Senate with a President Romney,King(I-ME) caucusing with Republicans and Brown(R-MA) narrowly winning re-election against Warren(D-MA). 1)Democrats need to make sure Thompson(R-WI)loses the Republican nomination to a more conservative challenger-allowing Baldwin(D-WI)to win in the general election. There is a 50-50 chance of that happening. 2)Make Sure Both Vulnerable Democratic Incumbents -McCaskill(D-MO) and Tester(D-MT) win re-election. Tester(D-MT) will be easier for Democrats than McCaskill(D-MO). 3)Make Sure Democrats win Tossup US Senate Races in Red States- IN(Donnelly-D) and ND(Heitkamp-D). IN(Donnelly-D)is a easy win for Democrats than ND(Heitkamp-D). IN is also highly competitive at the Presidential and Govenor Level and Donnelly(D-IN) is a perfect fit. 4)What can Harry Reid(D-NV) do for Shelly Berkley(D-NV).
Warren(D-MA)gets elected due to Obama-D coattails. Emily's List needs to provide extra assistance to Baldwin(D-WI),Berkley(D-NV),Heitkamp(D-ND),and McCaskill(D-MO).
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