PredictionsNewsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - SupersonicVenue (R-GBR) ResultsForumPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Advertisements

Political Posters!
History of the Parties


Election and History Posters from History Shots!

Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed


160-600-tplots-ad3

Date of Prediction: 2012-08-20 Version:12

Prediction Map
SupersonicVenue Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
SupersonicVenue Map


Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem17
 
pie
Rep14
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos8
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1-2-3-513316-4
Rep+2+3+5-10-1639+4
Ind+10+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic173047
Republican143751
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Update 12: Nebraska from Lean to Strong.

Missouri from Lean to Tossup.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: SupersonicVenue (R-GBR) 2012-08-20 @ 19:41:32 prediction Map
Polls show that Deb Fischer is locked on for victory in Nebraska. A Bob Kerrey win is now very, very unlikely.

In the wake of Akin-gate, I'm assuming he will drop out hence keeping Missouri as a GOP gain. If he doesn't, the state is Lean Democratic.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 2/2 0/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 131 98T
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 38 4 314T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 17 2 164T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 8/11 17/22 77.3% pie 11 4 51T
P 2012 Rep Primary 15/52 8/52 23/104 22.1% pie 4 - 184T
Aggregate Predictions 109/154 75/154 184/308 59.7% pie



Back to 2012 Senatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home

© David Leip 2012 All Rights Reserved