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Date of Prediction: 2012-09-27 Version:23

Prediction Map
KS21 Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
KS21 Map


Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+2+1+3-1-2-3144180
Rep+1+2+3-2-2-4426-1
Ind0+1+1000101+1


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic223052
Republican93746
Independent202
pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2012-09-27 @ 17:06:10 prediction Map
Flake doesn't seem to be polling above 50, even in Rasmussen... ...this is something to keep an eye on. In addition, recent polls in NV and IN (PPP and Howey/Depauw, respectively) are putting the GOP on defensive. It seems as though most people are considering a Democratic gain possible, which, compared to even a few weeks ago, is incredible. A new Mason-Dixon/Post-Dispatch poll should be out in Missouri within the coming days (hopefully tomorrow, Mason-Dixon polls in MO normally come towards the end of the month.) This poll will, in many ways, determine whether many superPACs leave Akin for dead or will start supporting him again. I'll hold off changing that race for now, but I would not be surprised if it moves back to more of a toss-up state within the coming days...


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 2 1T
P 2012 President 56/56 46/56 102/112 91.1% pie 28 0 47T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 27/33 59/66 89.4% pie 37 0 1
P 2012 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 5 0 51T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 3/4 7/8 87.5% pie 28 5 2T
P 2010 Senate 37/37 30/37 67/74 90.5% pie 203 0 2T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 146 0 17T
Aggregate Predictions 177/180 141/180 318/360 88.3% pie



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