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Date of Prediction: 2012-02-12 Version:1

Prediction Map
leip Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
leip Map


Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos4
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+100014721+1
Rep000-10-1729-1
Ind0000001120


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic223052
Republican93746
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Test


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 235 138T
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 3 473 314T
P 2012 Senate 29/33 10/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 268 268T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 3/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 268 196T
P 2012 Rep Primary 26/52 7/52 33/104 31.7% pie 5 - 141T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 3 243 37T
P 2010 Senate 30/37 14/37 44/74 59.5% pie 4 98 321T
P 2010 Governor 20/37 10/37 30/74 40.5% pie 2 357 292T
P 2009 Governor 0/2 0/2 0/4 0.0% pie 1 138 101T
P 2008 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 4 372 958T
P 2008 Senate 25/33 10/33 35/66 53.0% pie 1 362 386T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 362 183T
P 2008 Dem Primary 25/52 9/52 34/104 32.7% pie 4 - 134T
P 2008 Rep Primary 11/49 3/49 14/98 14.3% pie 1 - 191T
P 2007 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 3 8 155T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 26/33 8/33 34/66 51.5% pie 3 7 437T
P 2006 Governor 28/36 9/36 37/72 51.4% pie 6 199 279T
P 2004 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 15 15 359T
Aggregate Predictions 397/563 191/563 588/1126 52.2% pie



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