Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-08-30 Version:1

Prediction Map

jrny32 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jrny32 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	19
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	10
Ind	2
Tos	9
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-4	-9	10	2	12	-9
Rep	+5	+5	+10	-1	0	-1	6	3	9	+9
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	12	30	42
Republican	19	37	56
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	46/56	38/56	84/112	75.0%		1	380	575	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	23/35	54/70	77.1%		1	366	101	T	423
2018 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%		2	10	42	T	483
2016 President	52/56	32/56	84/112	75.0%		6	1	87	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	20/34	51/68	75.0%		2	12	60	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	9/12	19/24	79.2%		1	1	1	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		2	1	60	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	17/36	49/72	68.1%		1	1	56	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	188	98	T	153
2012 President	47/56	39/56	86/112	76.8%		3	5	591	T	760
2012 Senate	22/33	8/33	30/66	45.5%		1	68	329	T	343
Aggregate Predictions	340/391	233/391	573/782	73.3%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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