Election 2012 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-04 Version:3

Prediction Map

Mierendorff Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Mierendorff Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	10
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	9
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+2	+3	0	-3	-3	15	3	18	0
Rep	0	+3	+3	-1	-2	-3	5	2	7	0
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	-1	-1	1	0	1	0

Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	21	30	51
Republican	10	37	47
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	52/56	46/56	98/112	87.5%		2	22	74	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	23/35	53/70	75.7%		3	3	137	T	423
2018 Senate	33/35	20/35	53/70	75.7%		5	1	132	T	483
2016 President	51/56	21/56	72/112	64.3%		7	3	527	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	21/34	53/68	77.9%		4	2	16	T	362
2014 Senate	31/36	23/36	54/72	75.0%		4	2	138	T	382
2012 President	54/56	38/56	92/112	82.1%		5	2	435	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	14/33	45/66	68.2%		3	2	198	T	343
Aggregate Predictions	314/341	206/341	520/682	76.2%

User Info

Mierendorff Forum Profile

Links

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