PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - Nagas (D-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-03 Version:16

Prediction Map
Nagas MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Nagas MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind2
 
Tos5
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+2+30-2-215419+1
Rep0+2+2-1-2-3527-1
Ind0+1+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic223052
Republican93746
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Democrats will hold their current margin in the Senate or gain one seat. It all comes down to Montana/Wisconsin.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 50/56 39/56 89/112 79.5% pie 1 119 434T684
P 2020 Senate 30/35 19/35 49/70 70.0% pie 1 14 309T423
P 2018 Senate 29/35 19/35 48/70 68.6% pie 1 350 306T483
P 2018 Governor 29/36 17/36 46/72 63.9% pie 1 352 285T372
P 2016 President 50/56 30/56 80/112 71.4% pie 2 1 246T678
P 2016 Senate 29/34 17/34 46/68 67.6% pie 3 1 252T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 4/12 13/24 54.2% pie 1 1 119T279
P 2014 Senate 33/36 23/36 56/72 77.8% pie 13 1 99T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 18/36 48/72 66.7% pie 13 0 73T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 130 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 13 1 77T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 16 3 20T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 4 0 89T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 21/52 66/104 63.5% pie 19 - 21231
Aggregate Predictions 433/490 283/490 716/980 73.1% pie



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