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PredictionsEndorse2012 Senatorial Predictions - BYUmormon (R-UT) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-04-25 Version:3

Prediction Map
BYUmormon MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
BYUmormon MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep12
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem18
 
pie
Rep11
 
Ind2
 
Tos2
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+1+1+2-1-3-414317-2
Rep+1+3+4-1-1-2628+2
Ind0+1+10-1-11010


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193049
Republican123749
Independent202
 pie

Analysis

Although the Democrats will remain in control of the Senate, they will not have as large a majority, and the GOP will improve it's position.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2012 President 52/56 39/56 91/112 81.3% pie 16 164 466T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 12/33 41/66 62.1% pie 3 195 241T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 8/11 18/22 81.8% pie 2 195 24T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 39/52 11/52 50/104 48.1% pie 9 - 71T231
Aggregate Predictions 130/152 70/152 200/304 65.8% pie



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