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Date of Prediction: 2012-02-13 Version:1

Prediction Map
HarryHayfield Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
HarryHayfield Map


Prediction States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
17 |
33 |
50 |
Dem14
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind2
 
Tos7
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+1-6-1-79514-6
Rep+6+1+7-10-1729+6
Ind0000001120


Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic153045
Republican163753
Independent202
pie

Analysis

Assuming a tied Senate vote, I am saying 6 GOP gains


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2013 Governor 2/2 0/2 2/4 50.0% pie 2 11 98T
P 2012 President 54/56 39/56 93/112 83.0% pie 18 1 401T
P 2012 Senate 22/33 6/33 28/66 42.4% pie 1 267 334T
P 2012 Governor 8/11 2/11 10/22 45.5% pie 1 30 220
P 2012 Rep Primary 41/52 12/52 53/104 51.0% pie 48 - 64T
P 2011 Governor 2/4 0/4 2/8 25.0% pie 1 33 100T
P 2010 Senate 27/37 13/37 40/74 54.1% pie 3 2 391T
P 2010 Governor 28/37 14/37 42/74 56.8% pie 3 2 230T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 2 1 41T
P 2008 President 52/56 30/56 82/112 73.2% pie 22 0 442T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 11/33 41/66 62.1% pie 2 8 334T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 5/11 16/22 72.7% pie 1 47 152T
P 2008 Dem Primary 27/52 8/52 35/104 33.7% pie 33 - 127T
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 15/49 56/98 57.1% pie 32 - 21T
P 2007 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 65 155T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 31/33 12/33 43/66 65.2% pie 7 1 328T
P 2006 Governor 25/36 7/36 32/72 44.4% pie 3 26 301T
P 2004 President 53/56 36/56 89/112 79.5% pie 16 1 283T
Aggregate Predictions 457/563 212/563 669/1126 59.4% pie



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