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Date of Prediction: 2014-04-22 Version:22

Prediction Map
KS21 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
KS21 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem19
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Non15
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Tos5
 
Non15
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+10-3-316218-2
Rep0+3+30-1-112113+2
Ind0000000000


Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic193251
Republican163046
Independent022
 pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: KS21 (I-KS) 2014-04-22 @ 19:20:25 prediction Map
I'm feeling good about Georgia. Hopefully low turnout will put Broun in a runoff.
 By: darthpi (D-PA) 2014-04-22 @ 22:32:48 prediction Map
I'm a little less optimistic about Begich's chances in Alaska than you, apparently, but I'll concede that I don't have a great understanding of the idiosyncratic politics of that state. I would be extraordinarily happy if the Democrats can limit it to two net losses this year, given the nearly guaranteed losses of MT, SD, and WV.
 By: darthpi (D-PA) 2014-04-22 @ 22:35:11 prediction Map
Not sure how I feel about the Georgia race. Paul Broun seems so terrifyingly far to the right that I would almost rather that a more reasonable Republican (and yes, I realize that is a very relative term) win the nomination there just to 100% rule out the chance of having him in the Senate. Same thing with McDaniel in Mississippi.
 By: MilesC56 (I-VA) 2014-04-23 @ 02:30:46 prediction Map
^ People underestimate how great a politician Begich is; his last two ads have been very good.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 55/56 46/56 101/112 90.2% pie 1 338 23T684
P 2018 Senate 31/35 24/35 55/70 78.6% pie 5 2 67T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 27/36 60/72 83.3% pie 3 3 18T372
P 2016 President 47/56 26/56 73/112 65.2% pie 7 0 496T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 7 1 164T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 2 1 67T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 110 72T112
P 2014 Senate 29/36 22/36 51/72 70.8% pie 48 1 200T382
P 2014 Governor 29/36 16/36 45/72 62.5% pie 25 1 145T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 2 1T153
P 2012 President 56/56 46/56 102/112 91.1% pie 28 0 47T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 27/33 59/66 89.4% pie 37 0 1343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 5 0 51T228
P 2011 Governor 4/4 3/4 7/8 87.5% pie 28 5 2T106
P 2010 Senate 37/37 30/37 67/74 90.5% pie 203 0 2T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 146 0 17T312
Aggregate Predictions 441/484 326/484 767/968 79.2% pie



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