Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-09-30 Version:12

Prediction Map

Percival Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Percival Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	21
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	19
Ind	1
Tos	3
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-4	-7	13	1	14	-7
Rep	+3	+4	+7	-1	0	-1	11	3	14	+6
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	32	46
Republican	21	30	51
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						243
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	279	49	T	115
2022 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%		6	1	183	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	21/36	54/72	75.0%		6	1	194	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	9	1	T	118
2020 President	54/56	44/56	98/112	87.5%		6	6	74	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	24/35	55/70	78.6%		6	4	66	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		5	6	211	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	22/35	54/70	77.1%		25	1	106	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	22/36	53/72	73.6%		11	3	164	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		3	2	1	T	149
2016 President	50/56	35/56	85/112	75.9%		40	1	66	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	19/34	51/68	75.0%		18	1	60	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	6/12	14/24	58.3%		14	1	67	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		4	9	8	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	22/36	56/72	77.8%		19	1	99	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%		19	1	97	T	300
Aggregate Predictions	388/428	267/428	655/856	76.5%

User Info

	Percival Forum Profile
	Percival Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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