Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-20 Version:5

Prediction Map

TheOnlyOne234 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

TheOnlyOne234 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	19
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	14
Ind	1
Tos	10
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-2	-3	-5	14	2	16	-5
Rep	+2	+3	+5	-1	0	-1	11	3	14	+4
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	32	48
Republican	19	30	49
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	34/35	22/35	56/70	80.0%		1	2	147	T	305
2020 President	51/56	43/56	94/112	83.9%		8	5	215	T	684
2020 Senate	25/35	19/35	44/70	62.9%		4	16	399	T	423
2020 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%		1	343	275	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	82	35	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%		1	8	67	T	483
2018 Governor	29/36	18/36	47/72	65.3%		1	7	273	T	372
2016 President	51/56	29/56	80/112	71.4%		12	2	246	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	11/34	41/68	60.3%		4	12	336	T	362
2014 Senate	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%		7	2	261	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	17/36	49/72	68.1%		1	7	56	T	300
2012 President	56/56	43/56	99/112	88.4%		12	35	146	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	14/33	45/66	68.2%		1	12	198	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	11	24	T	228
Aggregate Predictions	423/473	269/473	692/946	73.2%

User Info

	TheOnlyOne234 Forum Profile
	TheOnlyOne234 Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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