Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-22 Version:6

Prediction Map

Wilbur84 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Wilbur84 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	20
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	10
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-6
Rep	+4	+3	+7	-1	-1	-2	11	2	13	+5
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	32	47
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
52	32	20

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	4	74	T	115
2022 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%		4	1	147	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	31/36	65/72	90.3%		4	1	2	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	14	1	T	118
2020 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%		3	6	130	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%		3	4	25	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%		2	6	3	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	13	35	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	23/35	55/70	78.6%		5	1	67	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	20/36	50/72	69.4%		4	3	226	T	372
2016 President	51/56	36/56	87/112	77.7%		4	1	35	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	21/34	52/68	76.5%		3	1	35	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	7/12	16/24	66.7%		3	1	25	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		4	0	57	T	112
2014 Senate	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%		6	13	177	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%		6	0	97	T	300
Aggregate Predictions	386/429	282/429	668/858	77.9%

User Info

	Wilbur84 Forum Profile
	Wilbur84 Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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