Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-24 Version:21

Prediction Map

Sb101 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Sb101 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	18
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-2	-3	-5	14	2	16	-4
Rep	+2	+3	+5	-1	-1	-2	11	2	13	+3
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	32	49
Republican	18	30	48
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	277	1	T	115
2022 Senate	35/35	29/35	64/70	91.4%		7	1	7	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	30/36	65/72	90.3%		5	4	2	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		2	60	48	T	118
2020 President	51/56	40/56	91/112	81.3%		8	19	359	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	19/35	51/70	72.9%		11	17	241	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	4/11	15/22	68.2%		8	47	249	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		2	8	14	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	25/35	57/70	81.4%		14	1	24	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		15	2	18	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	116	1	T	149
2016 President	50/56	32/56	82/112	73.2%		12	0	149	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	21/34	53/68	77.9%		12	1	16	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%		10	0	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		5	7	8	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%		27	0	82	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%		24	1	22	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		3	7	17	T	153
Aggregate Predictions	395/433	287/433	682/866	78.8%

User Info

	Sb101 Forum Profile
	Sb101 Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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