Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-31 Version:3

Prediction Map

Smash255 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Smash255 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	20
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-3	-6	13	2	15	-6
Rep	+3	+3	+6	-1	0	-1	11	3	14	+5
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	15	32	47
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
57	32	25

Analysis

Basically just updated a few %'s that I didn't pay close enough attention to previously

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	32/36	25/36	57/72	79.2%		3	4	82	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	14/36	45/72	62.5%		2	1	145	T	300
2012 President	56/56	46/56	102/112	91.1%		1	2	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	22/33	54/66	81.8%		1	2	40	T	343
2010 Senate	34/37	24/37	58/74	78.4%		4	1	86	T	456
2010 Governor	37/37	26/37	63/74	85.1%		2	1	11	T	312
2008 President	54/56	46/56	100/112	89.3%		16	2	13	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	20/33	53/66	80.3%		4	2	57	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	10/11	21/22	95.5%		2	2	3	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	158	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%		15	2	20	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		10	1	44	T	312
2004 President	49/56	33/56	82/112	73.2%		2	139	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	440/463	315/463	755/926	81.5%

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