Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-03-06 Version:5

Prediction Map

Orser67 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Orser67 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	18
Ind	0
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	16
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-1	-3	-4	15	2	17	-4
Rep	+1	+3	+4	0	0	0	12	2	14	+4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	32	49
Republican	18	30	48
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
46	30	16

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%		4	131	179	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	24/35	54/70	77.1%		2	159	101	T	423
2016 President	48/56	23/56	71/112	63.4%		3	222	552	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	16/34	46/68	67.6%		2	222	252	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	7/12	16/24	66.7%		2	375	25	T	279
2014 Senate	30/36	16/36	46/72	63.9%		5	243	273	T	382
2014 Governor	26/36	13/36	39/72	54.2%		4	214	253	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	158	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	44/56	99/112	88.4%		1	54	146	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	18/33	49/66	74.2%		1	42	128	T	343
2010 Senate	26/37	15/37	41/74	55.4%		2	201	375	T	456
2010 Governor	28/37	14/37	42/74	56.8%		1	353	230	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%		1	100	92	T	103
2008 President	54/56	40/56	94/112	83.9%		13	152	115	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	16/33	48/66	72.7%		4	152	172	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	228	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	7/52	7/52	14/104	13.5%		1	-	216	T	271
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		2	97	58	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	476/587	305/587	781/1174	66.5%

User Info

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