Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:19

Prediction Map

CasualObserver Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

CasualObserver Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	24
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	21
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-4	-9	11	1	12	-9
Rep	+5	+4	+9	0	0	0	12	3	15	+9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	12	32	44
Republican	24	30	54
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
54	36	18

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	52/56	42/56	94/112	83.9%		5	6	215	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%		1	74	274	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		1	76	10	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	16/35	48/70	68.6%		2	21	306	T	483
2016 President	51/56	24/56	75/112	67.0%		46	0	440	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	18/34	48/68	70.6%		9	2	164	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	6/12	17/24	70.8%		2	4	14	T	279
2014 Senate	36/36	18/36	54/72	75.0%		19	1	138	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	14/36	43/72	59.7%		11	4	192	T	300
2012 President	51/56	33/56	84/112	75.0%		12	6	630	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	13/33	43/66	65.2%		4	3	221	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	4/11	13/22	59.1%		1	267	179	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	11/52	46/104	44.2%		18	-	86	T	231
Aggregate Predictions	408/463	226/463	634/926	68.5%

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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