Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:18

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	18
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-1	-4	-5	15	1	16	-4
Rep	+1	+4	+5	-1	-1	-2	11	2	13	+3
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	32	49
Republican	18	30	48
Independent	1	2	3

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
47	30	17

Analysis

Final prediction, Dems run ahead on Tuesday in LA and GA as for the runoff who knows. I hope I'm right for the sake of the country.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	279	1	T	115
2022 Senate	35/35	24/35	59/70	84.3%	9	1	69	T	305
2022 Governor	35/36	25/36	60/72	83.3%	10	1	66	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%	1	61	111	T	118
2020 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%	20	5	529	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	18/35	49/70	70.0%	8	30	309	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	4	26	10	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	3	3	14	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	20/35	51/70	72.9%	11	1	211	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	21/36	51/72	70.8%	14	3	205	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	99	40	T	149
2016 President	47/56	26/56	73/112	65.2%	10	4	496	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	16/34	45/68	66.2%	11	7	277	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	4/12	12/24	50.0%	6	25	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	4	7	8	T	112
2014 Senate	30/36	17/36	47/72	65.3%	18	1	261	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	17/36	46/72	63.9%	21	1	123	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	4	1	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%	30	15	314	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	25/33	57/66	86.4%	14	2	5	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	7	5	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	39/52	10/52	49/104	47.1%	44	-	75	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	0/4	4/8	50.0%	4	64	79	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%	37	6	181	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	19/37	53/74	71.6%	36	2	137	T	312
2008 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%	26	6	74	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%	18	7	204	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	10/11	21/22	95.5%	5	43	3	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	43/52	16/52	59/104	56.7%	23	-	47	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	38/49	11/49	49/98	50.0%	4	-	55	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	160	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%	19	1	46	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	18/36	52/72	72.2%	17	8	107	T	312
2004 President	53/56	20/56	73/112	65.2%	11	12	1564	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	886/992	519/992	1405/1984	70.8%