Election 2014 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-14 Version:4

Prediction Map

jdb Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jdb Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	21
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-4	-3	-7	12	2	14	-7
Rep	+4	+3	+7	-1	0	-1	11	3	14	+6
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	32	46
Republican	21	30	51
Independent	1	2	3

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
56	33	23

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	33/36	23/36	56/72	77.8%		4	21	99	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	20/36	50/72	69.4%		2	23	39	T	300
2012 President	56/56	48/56	104/112	92.9%		4	93	13	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%		7	0	111	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		3	48	5	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	44/52	18/52	62/104	59.6%		26	-	34	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	25/37	59/74	79.7%		54	0	63	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	25/37	58/74	78.4%		46	0	74	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%		1	109	92	T	103
2008 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%		6	17	139	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	16/33	49/66	74.2%		5	3	144	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	10/11	21/22	95.5%		1	148	3	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	1/3	4/6	66.7%		2	166	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	15/33	47/66	71.2%		11	3	232	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	19/36	52/72	72.2%		11	3	107	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	440/472	285/472	725/944	76.8%

User Info

	jdb Forum Profile
	jdb Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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