Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-06-29 Version:7

Prediction Map

doniki80 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

doniki80 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	23
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	5
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	0	+2	0	-1	-1	7	2	9	+1
Rep	0	+1	+1	-2	0	-2	20	2	22	-1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	11	34	45
Republican	23	30	53
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2020 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%		30	6	260	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	22/35	55/70	78.6%		16	4	66	T	423
2018 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%		25	1	42	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	24/36	56/72	77.8%		21	3	94	T	372
2016 President	51/56	36/56	87/112	77.7%		53	1	35	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	18/34	50/68	73.5%		33	1	89	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	5/12	15/24	62.5%		5	1	47	T	279
2014 Senate	34/36	17/36	51/72	70.8%		56	0	200	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	13/36	43/72	59.7%		40	0	192	T	300
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%		96	1	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%		26	2	20	T	343
2012 Rep Primary	16/52	6/52	22/104	21.2%		3	-	187	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	20/37	54/74	73.0%		73	1	151	T	456
2010 Governor	36/37	19/37	55/74	74.3%		50	2	118	T	312
2008 President	53/56	46/56	99/112	88.4%		80	1	26	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	17/33	50/66	75.8%		16	4	117	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	46/52	26/52	72/104	69.2%		10	-	7	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	10/49	3/49	13/98	13.3%		1	-	195	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	624/741	404/741	1028/1482	69.4%

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