Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-08-23 Version:2

Prediction Map

CR Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

CR Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	12
Rep	22
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	19
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+3	0	+3	0	-1	-1	7	2	9	+2
Rep	0	+1	+1	-3	0	-3	19	2	21	-2
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	12	34	46
Republican	22	30	52
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis

Senate: 52R-48D<br /> House: 237R-198D<br /> <br /> Supreme Court: 5D-1I-3R

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	51/56	30/56	81/112	72.3%		10	3	194	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	16/34	46/68	67.6%		5	3	252	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		4	3	67	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	18/36	53/72	73.6%		10	1	158	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%		6	1	15	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	233	17	T	153
2012 President	52/56	38/56	90/112	80.4%		25	2	489	T	760
2012 Senate	29/33	19/33	48/66	72.7%		6	2	144	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	8/11	18/22	81.8%		5	2	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	46/52	17/52	63/104	60.6%		29	-	27	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		1	245	37	T	106
2010 Senate	33/37	26/37	59/74	79.7%		19	1	63	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	21/37	56/74	75.7%		8	1	106	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	3	1	T	103
2008 President	47/56	28/56	75/112	67.0%		44	1	702	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	14/33	45/66	68.2%		7	1	257	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	4/11	13/22	59.1%		4	1	232	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	43/52	24/52	67/104	64.4%		22	-	23	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	34/49	15/49	49/98	50.0%		23	-	55	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	534/609	307/609	841/1218	69.0%

Links

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