Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-08-23 Version:3

Prediction Map

Chris Brown Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Chris Brown Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	21
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	0	-1	-1	7	2	9	+3
Rep	0	+1	+1	-4	0	-4	18	2	20	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	13	34	47
Republican	21	30	51
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	32/35	21/35	53/70	75.7%		3	35	132	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	16/36	49/72	68.1%		1	53	241	T	372
2016 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%		12	0	194	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	18/34	48/68	70.6%		8	27	164	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	5/12	15/24	62.5%		8	0	47	T	279
2014 Senate	31/36	19/36	50/72	69.4%		2	543	217	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	14/36	45/72	62.5%		2	543	145	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%		1	223	138	T	153
2012 President	53/56	40/56	93/112	83.0%		3	3	401	T	760
2012 Senate	28/33	16/33	44/66	66.7%		2	3	211	T	343
2012 Governor	7/11	4/11	11/22	50.0%		1	42	211	T	228
2010 Senate	32/37	16/37	48/74	64.9%		3	1	265	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%		3	1	143	T	312
2008 President	52/56	42/56	94/112	83.9%		57	141	115	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	15/33	45/66	68.2%		2	255	257	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		2	255	86	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	36/52	10/52	46/104	44.2%		3	-	84		271
2008 Rep Primary	12/49	3/49	15/98	15.3%		1	-	182	T	235
2007 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		2	142	135	T	167
Aggregate Predictions	515/625	295/625	810/1250	64.8%

Links

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