Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-10-06 Version:3

Prediction Map

rocker2004 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

rocker2004 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	18
Rep	16
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	9
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	11
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+7	+1	+8	0	0	0	7	3	10	+8
Rep	0	0	0	-7	-1	-8	15	1	16	-8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	18	34	52
Republican	16	30	46
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	277	49	T	115
2022 Senate	29/35	20/35	49/70	70.0%		6	0	271	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	20/36	53/72	73.6%		5	0	202	T	272
2020 President	48/56	41/56	89/112	79.5%		18	35	434	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%		11	33	337	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%		4	35	249	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	1/3	4/6	66.7%		1	4	35	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%		4	18	246	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	19/36	49/72	68.1%		2	20	241	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	116	40	T	149
2016 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%		6	1	194	T	678
2016 Senate	28/34	13/34	41/68	60.3%		9	1	336	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	3/12	12/24	50.0%		2	1	164	T	279
2014 Senate	29/36	17/36	46/72	63.9%		11	1	273	T	382
2014 Governor	24/36	10/36	34/72	47.2%		6	1	289	T	300
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%		15	13	314	T	760
2012 Senate	29/33	14/33	43/66	65.2%		14	72	221	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	4/11	15/22	68.2%		2	107	131	T	228
2010 Senate	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%		15	0	181	T	456
2010 Governor	26/37	12/37	38/74	51.4%		3	78	248	T	312
2008 President	50/56	28/56	78/112	69.6%		3	240	574	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	13/33	43/66	65.2%		2	240	303	T	407
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	147	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	7/33	38/66	57.6%		3	8	402	T	465
2006 Governor	28/36	11/36	39/72	54.2%		1	183	261	T	312
2004 President	48/56	33/56	81/112	72.3%		7	9	1142	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	702/817	403/817	1105/1634	67.6%

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