Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-05-22 Version:5

Prediction Map

mds32 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

mds32 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	6
Rep	28
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	6
Rep	21
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-2	-2	-4	5	1	6	-4
Rep	+2	+2	+4	0	0	0	22	2	24	+4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	6	34	40
Republican	28	30	58
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						244
2023 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	3	108	T	115
2022 Senate	29/35	18/35	47/70	67.1%		7	6	287	T	305
2022 Governor	27/36	17/36	44/72	61.1%		8	6	259		272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	10	1	T	118
2020 President	39/56	31/56	70/112	62.5%		9	270	672	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	18/35	48/70	68.6%		1	361	337	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		1	363	51	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	0/3	1/6	16.7%		1	146	179	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	20/35	51/70	72.9%		8	28	211	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	12/36	42/72	58.3%		9	60	330	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	76	1	T	149
2016 President	50/56	30/56	80/112	71.4%		53	2	246	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	13/34	43/68	63.2%		16	0	317	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	7/12	18/24	75.0%		16	0	3	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		3	119	57	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	14/36	48/72	66.7%		25	72	240	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	11/36	41/72	56.9%		20	72	224	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	0/2	1/4	25.0%		2	46	138	T	153
2012 President	51/56	35/56	86/112	76.8%		1	43	591	T	760
2012 Senate	26/33	8/33	34/66	51.5%		1	43	317	T	343
2012 Governor	7/11	4/11	11/22	50.0%		1	43	211	T	228
Aggregate Predictions	445/533	251/533	696/1066	65.3%

User Info

	mds32 Forum Profile
	mds32 Senatorial Endorsements

Links

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