Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:5

Prediction Map

madmax Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

madmax Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	20
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	0	0	0	7	3	10	+4
Rep	0	0	0	-4	0	-4	18	2	20	-4
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	34	48
Republican	20	30	50
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
53	32	21

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	51/56	32/56	83/112	74.1%		3	76	593	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	16/35	45/70	64.3%		2	74	390	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		1	368	147	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		1	135	104	T	192
2018 Senate	32/35	20/35	52/70	74.3%		5	18	170	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	27/36	59/72	81.9%		4	20	38	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	116	1	T	149
2016 President	48/56	18/56	66/112	58.9%		5	1	614	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	21/34	53/68	77.9%		5	1	16	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	5/12	13/24	54.2%		4	24	119	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	3	8	T	112
2014 Senate	30/36	22/36	52/72	72.2%		8	5	177	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	14/36	43/72	59.7%		3	46	192	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%		2	1	98	T	153
2012 President	56/56	45/56	101/112	90.2%		7	42	77	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%		4	33	11	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		3	33	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	42/52	20/52	62/104	59.6%		18	-	34	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	3/4	7/8	87.5%		2	54	2	T	106
2010 Senate	35/37	21/37	56/74	75.7%		1	9	116	T	456
2010 Governor	31/37	24/37	55/74	74.3%		2	7	118	T	312
2008 President	52/56	36/56	88/112	78.6%		7	3	276	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	20/33	53/66	80.3%		4	3	57	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		2	226	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	29/52	14/52	43/104	41.3%		8	-	90	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	34/49	15/49	49/98	50.0%		8	-	55	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	679/788	424/788	1103/1576	70.0%

User Info

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