Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-08 Version:1

Prediction Map

Aguagon Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Aguagon Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	21
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	17
Ind	0
Tos	6
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+3	0	+3	0	0	0	7	3	10	+3
Rep	0	0	0	-3	0	-3	19	2	21	-3
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	13	34	47
Republican	21	30	51
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
53	31	22

Analysis

Very much hope I'm wrong on NH, IN or MO. We just need one.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		2	2	49	T	115
2022 Senate	32/35	27/35	59/70	84.3%		4	1	69	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	30/36	64/72	88.9%		4	1	5	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		3	6	28	T	118
2020 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%		6	6	179	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	22/35	54/70	77.1%		3	4	101	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		1	6	10	T	293
2018 Senate	33/35	26/35	59/70	84.3%		3	1	4	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	29/36	62/72	86.1%		1	3	2	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	2	1	T	149
2016 President	50/56	35/56	85/112	75.9%		3	0	66	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	22/34	53/68	77.9%		1	0	16	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	4/12	14/24	58.3%		1	0	67	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	24	72	T	112
2014 Senate	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		3	1	21	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	17/36	48/72	66.7%		3	1	73	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	64	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%		7	1	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%		7	1	11	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		4	1	89	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	37/52	16/52	53/104	51.0%		23	-	64	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%		8	0	34	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	28/37	63/74	85.1%		4	0	11	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		5	21	1	T	103
2008 President	54/56	47/56	101/112	90.2%		13	1	6	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%		8	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		3	1	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	39/52	22/52	61/104	58.7%		20	-	38	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	38/49	21/49	59/98	60.2%		17	-	14		235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	169	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	27/33	58/66	87.9%		7	2	10	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		8	1	44	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	841/931	620/931	1461/1862	78.5%

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