The preliminary unofficial 2013 General Election results for Governor in New Jersey and Virginia have been posted. In New Jersey, Governor Chris Christie was re-elected by a margin of 60% to 38% with 1.6% voting for other candidates. This matched the New Jersey polls quite closely – with the appearance that the small undecided votes broke for Buono.
In Virginia, the results as reported by the Virginia State Board of Elections had Republican candidate Ken Cuccinelli ahead of Democrat Terry McAuliffe for much of the evening – only when 88% of the precincts had been counted did McAuliffe take the lead. This was due to the slower reporting of a number of urban precincts. In the end, the result was a closer-than-expected 2.5% margin for McAuliffe at 47.8% to Cuccinelli’s 45.3%. Libertarian Robert Sarvis received 6.5% (slightly below his polling average). The Virginia pre-election polls averaged a 6% margin for McAuliffe.
Unofficial Results of the special election held for U.S. Senate in New Jersey are now available. This contest, held on the unusual date of Wednesday, October 16, 2013, was between Newark Mayor Cory Booker (D), businessman and former Mayor of Bogota, NJ, Steve Lonegan (R), and six minor party candidates. The preliminary, unofficial results are Booker 54.8%, Lonegan 44.1%, and others 1.2%. Total votes counted thus far are a mere 1.3 million – only 38% of the votes cast in the 2012 General Election where 3.4 million votes were counted for U.S. Senator. Nonetheless, the results of the special election mirror quite closely that of the 2012 General. There was an 8.7% Republican swing and Lonegan picked up the counties of Salem and Somerset, but it wasn’t enough to achieve a win.
The 2012 Presidential Election Results map for Michigan by county subdivision (City, Township, and Charter Township) is now complete. Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan won a total of 1,133 cities and townships while Barack Obama and Joe Biden won in 382 (eight were ties). This is a significant number of pickups for the Republican ticket vs. 2008, where Obama and Biden won in 684 cities and townships vs. the McCain/Palin ticket’s 830. Similar to many other states, the municipalities with the largest populations voted overwhelmingly Democratic, with Obama/Biden winning nine of the top ten (Detroit, Grand Rapids, Warren, Ann Arbor, Sterling Heights, Clinton, Lansing, Canton, Farmington Hills; Romney won Livonia) with a net margin of 385,875 votes. In the city of Detroit alone, Obama/Biden won 97.6% to 2.1%, a margin of 275,724 votes. Full details can be viewed on the Michigan 2012 Town page.
Bernie Sanders, an independent running for re-election to the United States Senate in Vermont, won all 246 towns in the 2012 General Election. With no Democratic candidate in the contest, Sanders won a solid state-wide victory with 71% of the vote to Republican John MacGovern’s 25%. Chris Ericson of the United States Marijuana party had 2.0% with four other candididates making up the rest (full results). This bested his 2006 result where he received 65% of the vote and won all but two towns (one of the two was a tie).
In recent years, a fairly uniform result across the state in US Senate elections has been relatively common. Republican Jim Jeffords won all towns in 2000, Democrat Patrick Leahy won all but one town in 2004 and all but ten in 2010.
Individual Maine county township maps for the 2008 and 2012 General Elections for President have been created. These include swing, trend, and party maps with full mouse-over image maps. The maps are a result of the recent work to build an election mapping database for Maine to include the unincorporated townships missing from the US Census county subdivision database.
On Wednesday of last week, the 2013 Special US Senate election in Massachusetts (held on June 25) was certified. The final tally is Democratic candidate Ed Markey with 645,249 (54.8%), Republican Gabriel Gomez 525,307 (44.6%), Twelve Visions Party candidate Richard Heos 4,550 (0.4%) and “All Others” with 2,504 (0.2%). The Atlas entry for this election is located here. At right is a thumbnail of the map by city and town (click for larger image). The total ballots cast in this special election was 1,179,781 – over two million votes less than were cast in the 2012 General Election. Even relative to the 2010 Special Election, the number of ballots cast is only half the 2,253,727 ballots cast on January 19, 2010. The 2013 special election stands out in the low-level of turnout.
Compared with the 2010 Special Election (city and town map shown at right), the 2013 map looks quite similar. Only 36 of 351 cities and towns changed color – 35 Scott Brown municipalities were won by Ed Markey and only one (Monroe) was won by both Martha Coakley in 2010 and Gabriel Gomez in 2013. Three towns that were won by Scott Brown in 2010 were ties in 2013. The switch of these towns, however, only represent a margin change of 34,132 votes. A much larger Democratic swing is present (193,307) in the cities and towns that did not change hands. Detailed town data are posted on the individual contest pages (2010 and 2013).
The 2012 Presidential Election Map by Town for the State of Maine has been added to the Atlas (at right – click for a larger image). The results for Maine are a challenge to map because the Maine Secretary of State lists results for many individual unincorporated townships that the US Census Bureau aggregates into larger geographic regions. For example, the official election results in Washington County include a separate entry for Edmunds Twp (census aggregates into East Central Washington UT), Brookton Twp (census aggregated into North Washington UT), etc. In total, there are 26 unincorporated townships in the 2012 General Election results that are not listed as separate geographic unincorporated townships by the US Census Bureau. To further complicate matters, Maine tends to change which of these townships report from year to year. In 2012, first-time listings include Concord and Spring Lake Twp (Somerset County), Lang Twp (Franklin County), T11 R4, T12 R13, T15 R6, T15 R9, TD R2 (Aroostook County), T7 SD (Hancock County). E Twp in Aroostook County made its first appearance since 1988. Township 14 (Washington County) did not make an appearance in the 2012 Election Results – although its possible that this is actually the entry “Cooper Twps” listed in the Maine Official Election Results. There are a total of 24 entries of vote results that are not associated with a town (such as “Mattawamkeag Twps” – in this case, the results for this entry are from voters in unincorporated townships that have elections administered by Mattawamkeag). Actual geographic origin of these votes in these 24 unincorporated township groupings is under investigation.
To facilitate faster generation of Maine Township Maps for elections, significant effort has been expended to create a database that is relevant to the posted election results. The map above is the first of these to be created based on this new database. It includes all the census county subdivisions plus all the unincorporated townships split out as defined by the State of Maine – resulting in a beautiful map. FIPS codes for these non-census townships are created by the Atlas in a manner consistent with the census numbering (no existing FIPS codes exist for these townships). More Maine maps to be added in the coming days.
The Atlas database has been updated to include additional Write-in Votes for President for the 2004 General Election in New York and Delaware. The state of Delaware publishes a “results book” after each election cycle. This paper publication (more recently provided as a more convenient pdf) includes more complete results, including official write-in votes that are not presented on the official election results posted on Delaware Commissioner of Elections 2004 Election Results web page. The Delaware 2004 Election Results book includes a total of 80 write-in votes for President (three are for Róger Calero the Socialist Workers candidate, the remaining are not cast for any of the other national candidates).
New York also printed a more recent (and unlabeled) version of the the 2004 Election Results for President and Vice President that includes more votes for qualified write-in candidates. This document has a creation date of May 9, 2005, but is not labeled as an amended version. It includes write-in votes for David Cobb, Michael A. Peroutka, and Bill Van Auken in a number of counties that were left blank in the December 2004 version of the document. The Peroutka vote increases from 207 to 363, Cobb from 87 to 138, and Van Auken from 2 to 4. This newer report, however, does not include any qualified write-in votes from the five New York City boroughs.
A second example of double-counted votes was discovered this week – this time its Lake County, TN in the 2004 General Election. This discovery is an outcome of viewing the new statistics tables described in the previous entry. When examining the table for top percentage change in total votes cast for President relative to the previous election, Lake County, Tennessee popped up as #3 on the increasing column with 113.13% in 2004 followed by a precipitous decrease of 52.78% in 2008 – a sign of a high-probability error. Official results obtained by the Lake County Election Commission confirms the correct data as follows:
As Reported from the Lake County Election Commission