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Archive for the ‘Election Results’ Category

Iowa Caucus Maps Posted

Tuesday, January 27th, 2004

I have finally compiled and uploaded the county and congressional district results for the 2004 Iowa Caucus. Kerry is purple, Edwards is red, and Dean is green (with shades of each color representing the strength of the popular-vote win (in decades). The results are from the percentage listings at the Des Moines Register (It looks like the CNN data at the county level are wrong). Kerry and Edwards split the counties almost evenly with Kerry winning in three of the five congressional districts. Dean wins two counties - including Jefferson, the home of the University of Management (formerly Maharishi International University). This is the home county of John Hagelin of the Natural Law party, where he received 16% in 2000. There are several ties, noted by the striped shading - including a three-way tie between Dean, Edwards, and Kerry in Fremont County (located in the lower-left corner).

Iowa Caucus 2004

Tuesday, January 20th, 2004

The (almost complete) results of the Iowa Caucus are available in the 2004 Primary pull-down option of the Election Results section. The county-level map is not yet finished (I’m having difficulty finding complete and accurate results - the Iowa Secretary of State does not run the event - If you have a site suggestion, please leave a comment.)

The race dynamics shown in the pre-caucus polls proved accurate in the rising support for the campaigns of John Kerry and John Edwards. It appears that the negative campaigning took its toll.

Also, any visitors that attended the Iowa Caucus and would like to share their experience, please let me know. I’d like to highlight the event (in a weblog entry) from the perspective of a participant.

DC Primary

Wednesday, January 14th, 2004

The District of Columbia held its presidential “primary” yesterday. However, the event was nothing more than a political “beauty contest”, and not a very comprehensive one at that. Only four of the leading nine candidates were on the ballot (Howard Dean Dennis Kucinich, Carol Moseley Braun, and Al Sharpton). The remaining candidates did not participate (pressure was applied from the national Democratic party because the DC primary date violates party rules). No delegates were awarded from the results of the primary.

The preliminary results of the DC primary (from the District of Columbia Board of Elections and Ethics) show a very-low turnout of 16.3% (42,318 cast ballots out of 259,322 registered Democrats). Howard Dean captured the most votes, 17,584 (42.8%) followed by Al Sharpton with 14,090 (34.3%), Carol Moseley-Braun with 4,776 (11.6%), Dennis Kucinich with 3,408 (8.3%), and perennial presidential candidate Lyndon LaRouche Jr. with 498 (1.2%). Other candidates garnered about 1.8%.

LS Gubernatorial Results

Sunday, November 16th, 2003

The preliminary (100% precincts reporting) results of the Louisiana Gubernatorial run-off election have been posted in the Gubernatorial section of the website. The results differ relative to many recent polls; Blanco wins with a margin of slightly less than 4 percentage points: 52% to 48%. The results by Parish show signficant geographic support for Blanco, winning 53 Parishes to Jindal’s 12.

MS Gubernatorial Results

Wednesday, November 5th, 2003

The preliminary (99% precincts reporting) data from the Mississippi Gubernatorial election is in. You can find the county map and data in the Gubernatorial section of the web site. The results show a modest win for Haley Barbour (R) over incumbent Ronnie Musgrove (D) by a margin of 7.3 percentage points (52.9% to 45.6%). The three minor party candidates received a combined total of 1.6%.

KY Gubernatorial Results

Tuesday, November 4th, 2003

The preliminary (100% precincts reporting) data from the Kentucky Gubernatorial election is in. You can find the county map and data in the Gubernatorial section of the web site. It is a solid win for Fletcher (R) who leads in the unofficial tally 55% - 45% over democrat A. B. Chandler. I have not yet found preliminary county-level results for Mississippi.

California Recall!

Wednesday, October 8th, 2003

Well, the California Recall is over. Preliminary results are in and it appears to be a solid victory for the recall and for Schwarzenegger. The top republican challenger received 47.8% of the overall vote and carried 50 of California’s 58 counties - including the populous counties of Los Angeles, San Diego, Orange, Riverside, and Sacramento. Interestingly, Schwarzenegger actually received slightly more votes than “no” votes on the recall (subject to change as more votes are tallied). Schwarzenegger’s best showing was in Sutter County (64.5%)

Bustamante’s support was limited to the San Francisco Bay area (although he lost Contra Costa County by a slight 0.44%). Bustamante’s best showing was in San Francisco (63.4%).

McClintock placed a solid third with 13.2% (he placed second in eight counties and fourth in one). His best showing was Stanislaus County with 23.9%. It appears that many of the more conservative counties opted for the more socially liberal Schwarzenegger over the more conservative McClintock.

Camejo placed fourth with 2.8% - barely half of his showing in 2002. His best county was Humboldt with 7.2%.

Overall, three counties were won with < 40% of the vote - Bustamante in Mendocino , Schwarzenegger in Contra Costa and Napa.

Note that it will take many days for all the ballots to be counted. A final tally will be posted on the site following the certification of the vote by the California Secretary of State.