New Jersey 2013 Official Gubernatorial Results

The 2013 New Jersey General Election Gubernatorial Results are now official – posted by the New Jersey Division of Elections in the document Official List Candidates for Governor For General Election 11/05/2013 Election on December 4, 2013.  The final results are Republican Chris Christie 1,278,932 (60.2%), Democrat Barbara Buono 809,978 (38.2%), Libertarian Kenneth R. Kaplan 12,155 (0.57%), Green Party candidate Steven Welzer 8,295 (0.4%) and four other minor party candidates with a combined total of 11,506 votes (0.54%).  The margin of victory is 466,714 votes (22.2%).  The Election Atlas also includes in its tally 2,175 write-in votes collected from individual county election reports that are not included in the “Official List” document.

Overall, the result is a solid Republican win for the incumbent in a heavily Democratic state.  The last time a Republican won the race for Governor in New Jersey by such a large margin was by Thomas H. Kean in 1985.  In 2013, Christie won all but two counties (falling short in Essex and Gloucester) – picking up six more counties relative to his win in 2009 on the back of an 18.6% swing statewide.  His strongest showing was in Ocean County (75.7%) and had his largest swing in Hudson County (32.3%) although still coming up short of winning the county by 11.1%.  The total votes counted in 2013 are 2,106,377 – a significant drop from 2009, where 2,425,441 votes were tallied (a drop of 319,064). Christie received 95,208 more votes vs. his run in 2009 while Buono received 284,792 fewer votes in 2013 than Jon S. Corzine did on the Democratic ticket in 2009. Full results are available for exploration here.

New Republic Article on Maine 2012

The New Republic has published an article titled “The Mysterious Town That Voted For Ron Paul” based on the Election Atlas Maine statewide township map of the 2012 General Election results for President (it links to this weblog post).  The Atlas has a weblog entry on this very topic published back on June 28, 2013.  The New Republic article expresses some concern on the validity of the result based on the lack of lack of existing modern information about Concord Unorganized Township on the web and the absence of election results from Concord UT in recent elections.  As for the latter concern, there is recent evidence of consistent results reported from Concord UT.  In addition to the three votes cast for President in 2012 from (all write-ins for Ron Paul), there are also three votes cast for U.S. SenateU.S. House of Representatives District 2State Senate District 26, and State Representative District 88.  Furthermore, while 2012 was the first modern year that Maine published Presidential Election results separately for Concord UT, the Maine 2010 General Election results as published by the Maine Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions also include three votes for Governor from Concord UT (two for Republican Paul LePage and one for Independent Eliot Cutler) as well as three votes each for U.S. Representative, State Senator, and State Representative.  Another mention of Concord UT separately is a voter registration report from November of 2006 that includes five registered voters (four Unenrolled and one Republican).  Earlier reports of election results mention that Concord UT results are included with Solon Township (example: General Election Tabulations November 2, 2004).

Elections Administered by Millinocket

Elections Administered by Millinocket

A number of the gray-shaded towns in the Maine statewide township map have residents, but not governments that administer elections.  Rather, larger surrounding townships administer elections in the unorganized townships and include these votes in their tallies.  One example is that of Millinocket (dark green in map at right), where the town administers elections in Penobscot Unorganized Townships 3 and 4, Long A UT, Cedar Lake UT, T1 R9 WELS UT, and T1 R8 WELS UT (all in light green).  Sometimes, the election results or voter registration figures for these outlying unorganized townships are tallied separately, sometimes they are added to the votes cast within the administering township, and sometimes they are reported as an aggregate separate from the administering township.  Results vary from year to year.

Updated 2012 Results in Saguache County, CO

Saguache County, CO

Saguache County, CO

The Colorado Office of the Secretary of State publishes a biennial report of official election results for the several elections held in the preceding two years.  Often the results presented within this abstract differ from the on-line reports published on the agency website shortly after the election. The 2012 Abstract of Votes Cast has only small deviations in the votes for Saguache County relative to the results published in the January 2012 on-line report.  The differences are Barack Obama (D) +1, Roseanne Barr (P&F) +2, Anderson (Jus) -2, Tittle (WTP) +1, Miller (ATP) -1. The Atlas database has been updated with this minor change.  Full results of the Colorado 2012 General Election Results for President are available on the Atlas here.

Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Results

The 2013 General Election results for Governor are now official. The certified results from the Virginia State Board of Elections are Terry McAuliffe (D) with 1,069,789 (47.75%), Ken Cuccinelli II (R) with 1,013,354 (45.23%), Robert Sarvis (L) with 146,084 (6.52%), and 11,087 write-in votes (0.49%).  This is a Democratic pickup resulting from a popular vote swing of almost 20% relative to the 2009 Gubernatorial Election.  Cuccinelli’s best county was Scott (75.6%) and best city was Poquoson (67.7%) – he also carried the populous Virginia Beach City with 47.6%.  McAuliff’s best county was Charles City County with 61.3% and best city was Petersburg with 77.8%.  McAuliffe’s overall margin of 56,435 votes is less than his margin in the single county of Fairfax, where he won 58.4% to 36.2% (a 68,065 vote margin).  Robert Sarvis had his best showing in Alleghany County (11.8%) and the city of Covington (12.6%).

Atlas adds 8,510 Election 2000 Votes for President

Upon a detailed review of all official county election publications for the state of New York 2000 General Election results for President, the Atlas database has been updated with 8,510 more votes not included in the New York State Board of Elections 2000 General Election certified results.  Overall, the atlas results in New York include 44 corrections to the certified results by county for President.  This database update replaces the official certified vote counts in three counties with those published in the following documents: Official Canvass and Statement of Votes Cast, published by the Nassau County Board of Elections (732 more votes than reported in the statewide certified results) and the City of New York Statement and Return of the Votes for the Office of President and Vice President of the United States (corrections in Kings and New York Counties), published by the New York City Board of Elections on February 21, 2001 (7,778 more votes than reported in the statewide certified results).  Given that this update is from heavily democratic counties, the net result of these corrections is an increase in the vote margin for Al Gore over George W. Bush of 3,582 votes (bringing the total popular vote margin to 547,398 votes).

A Vote for President Uncounted in Aurora, Illinois

The Illinois State Board of Elections did not count one 2012 General Election Presidential Ballot vote for Barack Obama in the City of Aurora.  In the state of Illinois, the administration of elections is performed by a combination of county governments and a number of city election commissions.  The final set of results, however, published by the Illinois State Board of Elections, is summarized only by County.  An oversight within this process is evident in the 2012 General Election Results for the City of Aurora.  Aurora is split between four counties – Kane, Kendall, Will, and DuPage.  The Aurora Election Commission administers the precincts residing in three of these counties (the DuPage County Election Commission administers those precincts entirely within its boundaries because a county commission supersedes a city commission, whereas a city commission supersedes a county clerk).  The precinct-level results from Aurora City are tallied by county and the totals are included with the results of Kane, Kendall, and Will, as appropriate.  However, the 2012 Statement of Votes Cast from the Aurora Election Commission, includes an entry labeled “Presidential Ballot”, with one vote cast for Barack Obama.  This ballot was not allocated to its home precinct.  When the tallies of the votes for President were made, the data suggest that only the physical precinct votes were tallied by county and included in the Official Vote.  This “Presidential Ballot” appears not to have a defined county, leaving it left uncounted.  The table below shows a detailed breakdown of the official results for Barack Obama for the counties of Kane, Kendall, and Will, showing the one vote discrepancy:

Aurora County Clerk Total IL SBoE
County # Prc Votes # Prc Votes
Kane 63 20,304 228 70,028 90,332 90,332
Kendall 3 1,157 83 21,314 22,471 22,471
Will 7 2,493 304 141,736 144,229 144,229
Total 73 23,954 615 233,078 257,032 257,032
Aurora City 74 23,955 ∆ of 1

Aurora SOVC Screenshot

West Virginia 2012 Write-in Votes

The 2012 General Election results for President officially reported in the West Virginia Certificate of Ascertainment include a total of 229 votes cast for 26 declared write-in candidates.  The vote data for the write-in candidates are not included by the West Virginia Secretary of State in their online election results database.  To date, the Election Atlas database only had the statewide totals available, including 119 votes for Virgil Goode, 31 votes for Roseanne Barr, 12 votes for Rocky Anderson, etc. Recently, I received the full county-level data for these candidates from the West Virginia Secretary of State’s office and incorporated them into the atlas.

1,053 Vote Error in MA Official 2010 Gubernatorial Results

Massachusetts Map Highlighting Middlesex County

Middlesex County, MA

The official general election results for Governor as published in the 2010 Public Document #43 Massachusetts Election Statistics (a book printed by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, with an online edition located here) contains an error in the City of Cambridge, Middlesex County. With 1,076 votes for “All Others” as a red flag, an investigation reveals that the PD#43 tabulation scrambled the results in Ward 5 Precinct 1 - where the published table has Democrat Deval Patrick with 1 vote, Republican Charlie Baker with 23, Independent Tim Cahill with 31, Green-Rainbow Jill Stein with 10, “All Others” with 1,054 and 108 blanks.  The official result as published by the City of Cambridge has Deval Patrick with 1,054 votes, Charlie Baker with 108, Tim Cahill with 23, Jill Stein with 31, 10 Blank votes, and 1 write-in vote. The corrected totals as published from the City of Cambridge has been incorporated in the Election Atlas database, resulting in an increase in total vote for Deval Patrick of 1,053 votes, an increase of 85 votes for Charlie Baker, a decrease of 8 votes for Tim Cahill, an increase of 21 votes for Jill Stein, and a decrease of 1,053 votes for “All Others”.

Updates to 2010 Governor and Senate Results

The Atlas 2010 General Election results for U.S. Senate and Governor have been updated to reflect several official changes in certified data.  In Colorado, the official publication of the “Abstract of Votes Cast” (a printed book, but also available in a pdf version) includes higher figures relative to the Official Results report published on the Colorado Secretary of State’s web site on November 24, 2010 (over five thousand more votes are included in the published Abstract). In New York, the State Board of Elections published an Amended set of certified results on September 13, 2012.  This report actually reduces the number of votes recorded in Westchester County. In Ohio, a slight increase in the vote count in Cuyahoga County is reflected by the most recent report on the Ohio Secretary of State 2010 General Election Official Results page. Lastly, 35 declared write-in votes are included for U.S. Senate in Delaware.

Virginia County Map Changes in 2013

Virginia County Map Highlighting Bedford County and Bedford City

Bedford County and City, VA

The 2013 general election map of Virginia includes the first county-equivalent boundary change since the independent city of Clifton Forge, VA reverted to a town in 2001.  On July, 1, 2013, the independent city of Bedford, VA transitioned to town status, removing the boundary separating Bedford City from Bedford County. The number of independent cities in Virginia is now 38, with 95 counties, for a total of 133 county equivalents.