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French Locals 2008: I-d-F

Ile-de-France (PS +2)

Essonne: Manuel Valls, the PS incumbent in Evry, was re-elected as expected. He swept back for another term with 70.3% by the first round, his UMP competitor far behind with 13.9%. No cigar, however, for the PS in Massy, where it had hoped to gain the city from the right. The right won with 57% in the runoff. The left held Viry-Chatillon (53.7%, R1) and Athis-Mons (54.1%, R1) while the right held Savigny-sur-Orge (50.1%, runoff). In Corbeil-Essonnes, where the race had attracted attention because of the UMP Senator and billionaire incumbent Serge Dassault (also involved in some judicial affairs) was at risk to lose his seat to the Communists, who had held the city until 2001. Dassault won narrowly, with 50.7% in the runoff against his PCF rival.

Hauts-de-Seine: Few changes took place in Sarkoland, apart from the usual right-wing civil wars. The PCF held Nanterre by the first round with 56.4%, the MoDem taking a distant second. The UMP ‘star candidate’, Rachid Kaci (leader of the UMP La Droite Libre faction- a DL like thingee). A few minutes away, in Sarkozy’s Neuilly-sur-Seine, the succession of the retiring UMP incumbent attracted tons of coverage. Firstly, Sarkozy imposed his spokesman David Martinon as the UMP candidate, to the discontent of the local UMP, which ran its own candidate, Jean-Christophe Fromantin (DVD). Then a poll came out showing Fromantin defeating Martinon, and the shit started to hit the fan. Martinon’s ‘colleagues’, including Jean Sarkozy and Arnaud Teulle abandoned him and finally Martinon stepped down. The UMP replaced him with none other than the dissident, Fromantin, but then the official candidate, Arnaud Teulle, became a dissident. Fromantin led the first round with 47.9%, Teulle trailed with 32.1%. The PS candidate took a mere 7.9%. Fromantin won the runoff with 61.7%. In other news, the PS lost the seat(s) it had held since 1947. In Levallois-Perret, Patrick Balkany and his wife (number 2 on his list) were re-elected with 51.5% in the first round. In Boulogne-Billancourt, the UMP candidate came out victorious of the right-wing civil war with 44.3% in the runoff. Another civil war in Puteaux, this time a bit… uhm… different. The incumbent, Joelle Ceccaldi-Raynaud was re-elected with 53% in the runoff, defeating an Indie, a Socialist and a DVD list led by none other than her dad, Charles, former mayor, who took only 7.8% in the runoff. Daddy refused to talk to her daughter in the runup to the runoff. The Hauts-de-Seine UMP takes the award for most bizarre. In Colombes, gained by the RPF Nicole Goueta in 2001, and joined in 2008 by Rama Yade, the left defeated the duo, taking 53.6% in a mediatized runoff. The UMP won Chaville from the PS in a UMP-PS-MoDem runoff. In the cantonales elections, Jean Sarkozy was elected with ‘only’ 51% in Neuilly-Sud by the first round, the MoDem taking an honourable second.

Ville de Paris: Very polarized between left and right, Paris continued this polarization and the ‘swing sectors’ didn’t swing much at all. Overall, Delanoe was easily re-elected, his lists doing well enough to win Paris-3, 11, and 19 by the first round. The swing sector of Paris-1 did not fall to the PS, the UMP was re-elected with 52.8%. Held by the Greens, the Green list led by the incumbent took second with 29.9% in the first round, behind the PS. The union of the PS with the Greenies meant that the Green incumbent took the top spot, and won with 68.3% in the runoff. In Paris-3, the PS took 55.9% by the first round, and 61% in the runoff in Paris-4. In Paris-5, the former RPR mayor Jean Tiberi, defeated in 2001, was threatened, and polls, like they had in 2001, showed him defeated by the PS Lynne Cohen-Solal (a sort of rival, she opposes him in every election he’s in). The MoDem’s qualification for the runoff changed the cards a bit, but polls still had him defeated even with the MoDem. The first exit polls showed him defeated 46-44. But they had undersampled dead voters. As the night progressed, the pollsters changed their polls first to 45-45 then to 45-44 for Tiberi. He won with 45% against 44.1% for the PS. The MoDem lost votes and fell to 10.9%. He must’ve taken 100% of the dead vote again perhaps? In Paris-6, the UMP incumbent took 56% in the runoff. Led by Rachida Dati, the UMP won Paris-7 easily, taking 57.7% in a three-way UMP-PS-MoDem runoff. The right was divided in Paris-8, with the outgoing mayor Francis Lebel leading a DVD-UMPd list against the official UMP candidate, Pierre Lellouche. Lebel won with 48.6% in the runoff. In the 9th, the PS took 63% in the runoff, 75% in the 10th, and 55.1% in the first round in Paris-11. Paris-12, a swing sector (the PS had narrowly gained the seat representing the 12th in 2007), the UMP candidate was the ex-MoDem Jean-Marie Cavada and his number 2 was Christine Lagarde, Minister of Finances. The PS did excellently in the runoff, taking 64.8% in the runoff. The 12th sector is now almost in line with its other left-wing neighbors. In Paris-13, the PS took 69.9% in the runoff and 57.4% in a three-way (PS-UMP-MoDem) Paris-14 runoff. Another swing sector that would’ve given the left a huge majority if they had won it, Paris-15, stayed with the UMP. The PS led the first round with 35.9% and the UMP trailed with 33.9%. A DVD list took 13.5%. Smart enough to understand that staying in meant defeat, the DVD merged with the UMP list and they won with 52.7%. In Paris-16, the most right-wing sector of the capital, the UMP narrowly won by the first round with 51.7% against 17.1% for the PS. Two DVD list took in total 16.5% and the MoDem had 8.6%. Paris-17, the base of the UMP candidate Francoise de Panafieu, stayed on the right narrowly with 52.8% for Panafieu in the runoff. Next door in the 18th, the PS sweeped the runoff with 72.5%. It won Paris-19 by the first round, with 52.1%. Paris-20, easily the most left-wing sector saw a battle between the outgoing DVG mayor and the PS candidate in the runoff. The UMP took only 7.24% here, behind the Greenies, DVD, and the MoDem. The PS won with 69.5% against 30.5% for the DVG incumbent. Status-quo prevailed overall, with the swing sectors staying with their masters. Jean Tiberi called his victory a “defeat for Delanoe”. Perhaps Cohen-Solal will have to wait until Tiberi retires and/or dies to win Paris-5 for the PS.

Seine-et-Marne: The leader of the parliamentary UMP, J-F Cope was re-elected in Meaux with 67.7% by the first round, an excellent score for the UMP. It was narrower in Melun, but the UMP won with 48.1%. No cookie for the UMP in the swing city of Chelles, where the PS won with 51.4% by the first round. The PCF held Champs-sur-Marne with 63.5% in the first round while the PS held Pontault-Combault (69.5%, R1) and Savigny-le-Temple (53.9%, runoff). The PS held the general council and the right failed to pick it up, after losing it in 2004.

Seine-Saint-Denis: Most of the changes in the 93 took place between the left-wing majorities, for the most part. In Montreuil, Dominique Voynet, the 2007 Green candidate for President picked up the city from the CAP-PCF mayor Jean-Pierre Brard with 54.2%. She perhaps picked up most of the UMP voters, eliminated in the first round and perhaps a few Trots (6.3% in the first round). The PCF held Bobigny by the first round, with 54.8% in the runoff. Same thing in Le Blanc-Mesnil, with the PCF winning 43.9% in a very close runoff with the UMP. In Saint-Denis, the Communists came out on top of the PCF-PS primary, with 51.12% in the first round, against 30.6% for the PS. Talking of primaries, the only gain PCF > PS at the municipal level was in Aubervilliers, where the PS won with 41.5% in the runoff against 38.5% for the incumbent PCF mayor. The Modem took 12.2% and the UMP won barely 7.8%. The NC held Drancy with 69.5% in the first round, increasing its score on 2001. Only notable PS gain from the right was in Aulnay-sous-Bois, where the PS defeated the deputy-mayor (and also unemployed, as he touches unemployment cash) with 50.4%. The PS ended up with 16 seats against 13 for the PCF in the general council, and the Socialists gained the department, in Communist hands since the creation of departmental government. Total PS +1 (does not include 1 Green gain and 1 PS gain from the PCF)

Val-de-Marne: No major changes here. The PS held Creteil by the first round with 54.2% and the reds held Vitry-sur-Seine with 100% (the PS, qualified for the runoff, merged with the reds). The reds also held Champigny-sur-Marne by the first round. The UMP gained Saint-Maur from a retiring DVD mayor in a UMP-DVD-PS runoff. The UMP also held Maisons-Alforts with over 63% by the first round. The PCF held the general council.
Val-d’Oise: A former Communist city, Argenteuil fell to the right in 2001. The PS won it back in 2008, with 50.6% in the runoff, defeating the incumbent. The UMP, however, held Goussainville with 50.08% in the runoff and a few votes difference. The UMP held Franconville (54.58%, R1) and Pontoise (52.2%, R1). The PS held neighboring Cergy with 51.8%. In the east of the department, the PS held Sarcelles with 68.9% in the first round. The PS gained the general council from the UMP. Total PS +1

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