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Archive for May 2nd, 2008

French Locals 2008: Final Stuff

Friday, May 2nd, 2008

Just some random things I’ll ramble about to close the 2008 French local election season.

Total Gains: Left +48 over the right. Total for all cities talked about in all regions. It doesn’t include changes within the same majority (such as PCF > Greenie, PCF > PS etc). The PS lost cities in only 2 regions, Bretagne (limited to one department, the 29) and Champagne-Ardenne.

Personal Votes: Looking at the vote totals in some cities that are normally close in national races, the incumbents usually carried their races with a much larger MoV than their party did in 2007. Doesn’t apply in general to one party, but to generally everybody.

Revenge: Two major revenges happened. Firstly, Juppe held Bordeaux after losing his constituency in 2007. In Chartres, the UMP incumbent defeated the Socialist who had taken his seat in a by-election earlier this year (even though he was supposed to get trounced).

Polls: They predicted the PS gains in Strasbourg, Toulouse, Reims and others; and were quite good in Paris, Lyon, Marseille, Rennes, Lille, Bordeaux so forth. They didn’t have the PS winning Saint-Etienne or most importantly Amiens (which was really a huge surprise result, both rounds). They had Tourcoing staying PS, but didn’t see the first round victory there.