Firstly, the results before anything else

NC-UMP 51.36%
PS 48.64%

So, my prediction of 51-49 was quite spot on, and what I had seen happening happened. Turnout remained horrid (29%) and the PS candidate took almost all of the PCF, Greenies, PRG etc. voters but didn’t get the key to all this, the MoDem, which likely broke narrowly for Durand (NC). This result is very much like Fenech’s 2002 result, where the UMP gained the seat from the PS with 52% of the vote.

The Prefecture of the Rhone still has communal data for the runoff, so…

The PS did extremely well in the Givors area and also in the bellwether canton of Condrieu (which probably broke narrowly for Durand, still). The PS also won a few communes in the north of Mornant canton. Save for the Lyon suburb of Mions, which went PS, Durand won Saint-Symphorien quite heavily, probably a mix of both it being very right-wing and him being the general councillor for the canton.

So, that’s that. Let’s wait eagerly for the next by-election, now.

This entry was posted on Sunday, June 1st, 2008 at 3:05 pm and is filed under Centre (MoDem, NC, GM), Election results analysis, French by-elections, French election results. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.