MD-SEN 2024: Cardin retiring, Hogan IN

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/GovLarryHogan/status/1791065074041291206
Say what you want about his chances (I strongly support him and still think it's very unlikely he actually wins), but this is a great ad. 

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/GovLarryHogan/status/1791065074041291206
Say what you want about his chances (I strongly support him and still think it's very unlikely he actually wins), but this is a great ad. 

That's the kind of ad he needs to run if he is going to win. I'm not saying he will win. But if he does win, ads like this will be the reason why.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

https://twitter.com/GovLarryHogan/status/1791065074041291206
Say what you want about his chances (I strongly support him and still think it's very unlikely he actually wins), but this is a great ad. 

I found the ad extremely boring and would not pay attention to it if it came up on TV.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden will come in and help Alsobrooks being so close to MD. Aside that, we don't know where Hogan stand on tax cuts and he said he won't modify Roe

[wnwnwn]

Hogan won´t win, but it would be fun to see if RNC waste money here.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://twitter.com/GovLarryHogan/status/1791065074041291206
Say what you want about his chances (I strongly support him and still think it's very unlikely he actually wins), but this is a great ad.  

Imagine actually believing any Democratic voter or even center-left leaning independent would be swayed by this snooze fest of an ad

[SuzerainOfSwat]

Democrat runs ad: OMG muh swing voters will eat this up

Republican ad: BORING!!!! Not going to win he’s just a RepubliKlan plant.

I don’t think Hogan will win, and I think television advertised is overused, but it seemed like an effective ad nonetheless. He obviously knows he needs crossover support to win so this seems like a good attempt to try and win some.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Democrat runs ad: OMG muh swing voters will eat this up

Republican ad: BORING!!!! Not going to win he’s just a RepubliKlan plant.

I don’t think Hogan will win, and I think television advertised is overused, but it seemed like an effective ad nonetheless. He obviously knows he needs crossover support to win so this seems like a good attempt to try and win some.

“Some Democrats said nice things about Hogan once” isn’t going to convince anyone to vote Republican for Senate who wasn’t already looking for an excuse to do so.

[Left Wing]

The sound mixing in that video is dreadful

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As Predicted Alsobrooks by 4/6 pts 50/44

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Any left-of-center person who votes for Larry Hogan in November is a fool.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Any left-of-center person who votes for Larry Hogan in November is a fool.

There is gonna be Ds voting R but it won't change the result Alsobrooks will win

[Arizona Iced Tea]

What percent of Romney-Clinton/Biden voters does Hogan end up getting?

[Agafin]

What percent of Romney-Clinton/Biden voters does Hogan end up getting?

About two thirds I'd assume. They are ground zero of his crossover appeal.

[Progressive Pessimist]

What percent of Romney-Clinton/Biden voters does Hogan end up getting?

About two thirds I'd assume. They are ground zero of his crossover appeal.

It's not 2014 anymore though. And these are the types of voters who would recognize what an extra Republican number in the Senate means.

[Agafin]

What percent of Romney-Clinton/Biden voters does Hogan end up getting?

About two thirds I'd assume. They are ground zero of his crossover appeal.

It's not 2014 anymore though. And these are the types of voters who would recognize what an extra Republican number in the Senate means.

I mean, what share of Biden voters do you think Hogan will get? I personally think it will be between 15% (on a bad night) and 25% (on a great night). And voters who were republicans not so long ago are probably going to be voting for Hogan at far higher rates than the average Biden voter.

Oh by the way: Hogan backs codifying Roe v. Wade, calls himself ‘pro-choice’.
He's really trying to get that democratic crossover vote.

[TML]

What percent of Romney-Clinton/Biden voters does Hogan end up getting?

About two thirds I'd assume. They are ground zero of his crossover appeal.

It's not 2014 anymore though. And these are the types of voters who would recognize what an extra Republican number in the Senate means.

I mean, what share of Biden voters do you think Hogan will get? I personally think it will be between 15% (on a bad night) and 25% (on a great night). And voters who were republicans not so long ago are probably going to be voting for Hogan at far higher rates than the average Biden voter.

Oh by the way: Hogan backs codifying Roe v. Wade, calls himself ‘pro-choice’.
He's really trying to get that democratic crossover vote.

Regarding Hogan's latest abortion comments, it should be noted that his past actions do not support them (for example, as governor, he vetoed legislation expanding abortion access in Maryland, and he also didn't think codifying abortion rights in MD's state constitution was necessary). Thus, he can still be attacked on that front as a flip-flopper, and that he would probably "fall in line" with his party on this and other issues should he enter the Senate.

[SnowLabrador]

Hogan will say whatever it takes to get elected. That doesn't mean he will be elected. But he very much has a chance here. He's not Bullock or Bredesen.

[Spectator]

Hogan's chances are effectively zero. He's already 10 points behind and this should still be his honeymoon phase. There's a good chance he loses Frederick and Anne Arundel counties with how fast they've been flying to the left.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hogan's chances are effectively zero. He's already 10 points behind and this should still be his honeymoon phase. There's a good chance he loses Frederick and Anne Arundel counties with how fast they've been flying to the left.

He has a 45% chance because that is exactly what he is going to get while Alsobrooks gets 50%

[Beet]

What percent of Romney-Clinton/Biden voters does Hogan end up getting?

About two thirds I'd assume. They are ground zero of his crossover appeal.

It's not 2014 anymore though. And these are the types of voters who would recognize what an extra Republican number in the Senate means.

I mean, what share of Biden voters do you think Hogan will get? I personally think it will be between 15% (on a bad night) and 25% (on a great night). And voters who were republicans not so long ago are probably going to be voting for Hogan at far higher rates than the average Biden voter.

Oh by the way: Hogan backs codifying Roe v. Wade, calls himself ‘pro-choice’.
He's really trying to get that democratic crossover vote.

LOL. Such a dishonest position when everyone knows Roe cannot be codified without an unreachable 60 Democratic Senators, and Hogan would vote to give Republicans control of the Judiciary Committee where abortion rights are really decided in this country. He could even be the deciding vote.

[Sir Mohamed]

Hogan's chances are effectively zero. He's already 10 points behind and this should still be his honeymoon phase. There's a good chance he loses Frederick and Anne Arundel counties with how fast they've been flying to the left.

Yup, though I expect him to do a lot better than Generic R. So far I'm predicting roughly the same result as TN-2018.