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May 27, 2024, 01:04:37 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 01:03:09 PM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by Obama24
Once again, Trump puts foot firmly in mouth on an issue that could actually win him the election.

Biden may support Bibi to an unhealthy extent, but Trump literally wants to deport protestors which is to me un-American. The choice should be clear to the professional protesting class which is the lesser of two evils.

It's a privilege to receive a student visa not a right.

Not sure what that has to do with my post?

Pretty certain a majority of the protesters are American college students.
Well a lot of them aren't so deport them, you can't just come here burn american flags say death to america and be shocked when your forced to leave.

Most aren't burning flags or saying death to America. Most just oppose America's support of Israel with regard to Gaza. No one should be deported for speaking their mind unless said speech incites violence or such.

Well they are, a lot of them are advocating violence against ""zionists" and are saying there a need for a global intifada or being violent against counter-protestors, so again my point still stand they should be deported or at the least investigated.

Investigate, sure. Deport without, no. I say this as someone who had a roommate who is considered a Muslim radical, btw.

 2 
 on: Today at 01:03:04 PM 
Started by lfromnj - Last post by Badger

More attacking by name and distracting from the topic. Last time you tried the same with John D Sailer and it turns out he was earlier than the NYT even if his source was iffy. Nice try. Sibarium is a good reporter who got a dean from Harvard take down.

John Sailer is an idiot.

And I'm guessing "dean from Harvard take down" was a Rufo/Alckman tier hatchet job from the far right.

If this is the kind of source you find reputable, I will be sure to treat your future thread postings with the appropriate level of credulity.

I agree the sources are anonymous which is why I put a question mark. I always remain skeptical of anonymous sources but Sibarium is a good reporter who you dislike because of his focus. If you wish to attack the usage of anonymous sources I am fine with that but trying to distract from the thread by calling every right wing reporter a idiot because you don't like them is derailing the thread.

Oof. Yellow Avatar triggering confirmed.

 3 
 on: Today at 01:02:16 PM 
Started by President Punxsutawney Phil - Last post by Obama24
Having pineapple pizza for lunch Wink

 4 
 on: Today at 01:02:03 PM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by Rubensim
Once again, Trump puts foot firmly in mouth on an issue that could actually win him the election.

Biden may support Bibi to an unhealthy extent, but Trump literally wants to deport protestors which is to me un-American. The choice should be clear to the professional protesting class which is the lesser of two evils.

It's a privilege to receive a student visa not a right.

Not sure what that has to do with my post?

Pretty certain a majority of the protesters are American college students.
Well a lot of them aren't so deport them, you can't just come here burn american flags say death to america and be shocked when your forced to leave.

Most aren't burning flags or saying death to America. Most just oppose America's support of Israel with regard to Gaza. No one should be deported for speaking their mind unless said speech incites violence or such.

Well they are, a lot of them are advocating violence against ""zionists" and are saying there a need for a global intifada or being violent against counter-protestors, so again my point still stand they should be deported or at the least investigated.

 5 
 on: Today at 01:01:31 PM 
Started by ShadowRocket - Last post by Horus
As a neoconservative on foreign policy, this is great news. But I highly doubt he's chosen.

So your biggest issue with Trump wasn't the hatred of democracy or the ghoulish tax cuts for the rich, it was that he wasn't violent enough towards other countries? Noted.

 6 
 on: Today at 01:01:19 PM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by Pro-Israel, anti-Bibi
The anti-Israel activists were accusing Israel of genocide before 10/7. The very existence of the state of Israel is “genocide” in their eyes. Of course these are the same people that said people who ate in restaurants or called for people to go back to working in offices in 2021 were committing genocide, so they have a tenuous grasp of the word regardless of the topic.

Strawman that describes very little of thr pro-Palestinian movement barring a random 20 year old on social media.

That sounded really good in Lief's head before he typed it out, lol.

 7 
 on: Today at 01:01:05 PM 
Started by GP270watch - Last post by DrScholl
He clearly has more issues that he didn't have when he ran the first time and his schedule is more limited. I'm convinced that the narrative about Biden's mental capacity wasn't created because of his age but because Trump's campaign knew he was the one with cognitive issues and they needed to create a narrative to project upon Biden to deflect from it.

 8 
 on: Today at 01:01:05 PM 
Started by Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver - Last post by Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
For a while I've been thinking of the House as Tilt D. However, when I tabulated my no-tossups predictions for each district, this is what it came out to:

218 Republicans
217 Democrats

So my new rating is Pure Tossup / Tilt R if no tossups allowed.

I hope this doesn't actually happen, but I have a really bad feeling that the evil North Carolina Republicans who threw out the first true fair map the state has seen in decades and stole 3 or maybe 4 seats will ultimately be the reason Republicans keep the House (if they keep it). Without the diabolical North Carolina redraw, my prediction would be 221 Democrats to 214 Republicans. Of course, there are a lot of uncertain seats here, but I think North Carolina alone reduced Democrats' chances of winning the House by at least 20%, probably higher.

Here's what I had flipping:

D-R
California-47 (Open; Porter) - Tilt R
Michigan-07 (Open; Slotkin) - Tilt R
North Carolina-01 (Davis) - Tilt R
North Carolina-06 (Open; Manning) - Safe R
North Carolina-13 (Open; Nickel) - Safe R
North Carolina-14 (Open; Jackson) - Safe R

R-D
Alabama-02 (Open; New Black Seat) - Likely D
Arizona-01 (Schweikert) - Tilt D
Arizona-06 (Ciscomani) - Tilt D
Louisiana-06 (Graves; New Black Seat) - Likely D
Nebraska-02 (Bacon) - Tilt D
New York-03 (Suozzi - flip only compared to 2022 results) - Lean D
New York-04 (D'Esposito) - Tilt D
New York-17 (Lawler) - Tilt D
New York-22 (Williams) - Lean D
Oregon-05 (Chavez-DeRemer) - Tilt D

There are a lot of other vulnerable incumbents, but when forced to pick a side in a tossup scenario, I'm usually inclined to pick the incumbent - especially since so many incumbent Democrats won close races in a tough year like 2022. The districts I have as being tossup races, but ultimately chose the incumbent party as the winner, are:

Republicans
California-13 (Duarte)
California-22 (Valadao)
California-27 (Garcia)
California-45 (Steel)
Colorado-03 (Open; Boebert)
Iowa-03 (Nunn)
New Jersey-07 (Kean)
Wisconsin-03 (Van Orden)

Democrats
Colorado-08 (Caraveo)
Illinois-17 (Sorensen)
Maine-02 (Golden)
Michigan-08 (Open; Kildee)
Nevada-03 (Susie Lee)
New Mexico-02 (Vasquez)
Ohio-13 (Sykes)
Pennsylvania-07 (Wild)
Pennsylvania-08 (Cartwright)
Texas-34 (Gonzalez)
Washington-03 (Gluesenkamp Perez)

and in the Lean Category:

Republicans
California-41 (Calvert)
Michigan-10 (James)
Montana-01 (Zinke)
New York-19 (Molinaro)
Virginia-02 (Kiggans)

Democrats
Alaska-AL (Peltola)
California-49 (Levin)
Connecticut-05 (Hayes)
Indiana-01 (Mrvan)
Minnesota-02 (Craig)
Nevada-01 (Titus)
Nevada-04 (Horsford)
New York-18 (Ryan)
Ohio-01 (Landsman)
Ohio-09 (Kaptur)
Oregon-06 (Salinas)
Pennsylvania-17 (Deluzio)
Texas-28 (Cuellar)
Virginia-07 (Open; Spanberger)

 9 
 on: Today at 12:59:02 PM 
Started by Continential - Last post by Obama24
I have never even heard of this practice prior to this thread.

 10 
 on: Today at 12:57:57 PM 
Started by Tekken_Guy - Last post by Obama24
Nothing.

Biden is in such a bad shape that I cannot understand who could vote for him, other than hardened partisans.


Anyone that does not want Donald Trump having a second term. I do not in any way, shape or form like Biden, nor do I consider myself a partisan. However, I will grudgingly vote for him in November because he is not DJT

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