Guaranteed pickup of governorships for Democrats?

[AuH2O]

Virginia and Iowa lean GOP. If Republicans can pull something out in PA and IL I doubt the Democrats will net a gain. The GOP also has an outside shot in WI.

For all the speculation, NY is the only race Dems clearly have, and no others are even strong leaners yet. A lot will depend on the candidates, which in many cases is unknown at least on one side.

My guess right now is a wash; both sides picking up 3.

[AuH2O]

Indeed. In fact, only 1 poll has shown it even recently-- since that was M-D, it got a lot of attention, but within their MOE even their data was consistent with a marginal Kilgore lead.

[AuH2O]

Also note Warner led the whole way, he didn't surge at the end. There's no reason to expect that here.

[AuH2O]

At least jfern is getting his smack talk in against Arnold now. Won't be so easy when he's reelected.

Honestly, Arnold's campaign should send as many people as possible DVD's of Commando. No one can watch that movie and vote against Arnold.

random soldier: "Do you expect we'll find any more bodies?"

Gen. Kirby: "If he's still alive, I'd expect a lot more."

(after killing guy next to him on the plane)
Arnold: "Please don't disturb my friend. He's dead tired."