2008 Election Night: Obama/Clark vs McCain/Ridge
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2008 Election Night: Obama/Clark vs McCain/Ridge
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Author Topic: 2008 Election Night: Obama/Clark vs McCain/Ridge  (Read 4608 times)
Josh/Devilman88
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« on: August 11, 2008, 08:24:36 PM »

I have nothing better to do, so I am going to make another one, that will have less of my personal view on the races(NC races). Anyways, Obama picks Clark as his VP Aug, 21st, McCain picks Ridges has his VP Aug, 29th.


Hello, this is Kyle White with BCC and this is your 2008 election night! It is now 6:00pm EST and many locals in IN and KY are closing their polls, but we can't make any calls because there are still part in both of them states that are open until 7:00pm EST. At that time KY, IN, NH, VT, VA, SC, GA and most of FL will close. Until that time lets look at the BCC EV map.



Obama/Clark: 238
McCain/Ridge: 216
Tossup: 84




The key states to watch tonight is PA, OH, CO, NM and VA. Tom Ridge is the Frm. Governor of PA so that state needs to be watch tonight. VA has been tied for the past 4 weeks, so that is a key state to watch too. We will be back at 7:00pm EST with some calls.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2008, 08:39:51 PM »

Alright, we are back and it is now 7:00 pm EST, and we have so calls to make.

We can call KY and GA for John McCain!
We can also call VT for Barack Obama!



McCain/Ridge: 23
Obama/Clark: 3
TCTC: 36


Lets look at some of the numbers that we have:

IN:  30% reporting: McCain: 53% Obama: 46%
KY: 42% reporting: McCain: 62 Obama: 36%
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2008, 09:38:17 PM »

Welcome back it is now 7:30 pm EST, and we have a call to make.

We can call WV for John McCain!

So lets look at the map:



McCain/Ridge: 28
Obama/Clark: 3
TCTC: 71



List of states Not Called yet and reporting results

IN: 45% reporting: McCain: 53 Obama: 46
NH: 20% reporting: Obama: 52 McCain: 47
VA: 22% reporting: McCain: 51 Obama: 48
SC: 25 reporting: McCain: 54 Obama: 45
OH: 0% Reporting:
NC: 05 Reporting:
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2008, 10:59:52 AM »

Welcome Back it is now 8:OO PM EST and we have some calls to make:

We can call SC, TN, AL, KS and OK for John McCain
We can call ME, MA, MD, DC and IL for Barack Obama

Lets look at the Map;



McCain/Ridge: 69
Obama/Clark: 53
TCTC: 159

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TommyC1776
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« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2008, 11:17:17 AM »

Good Timeline.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #5 on: August 12, 2008, 11:24:46 AM »

So lets look at the states still out:

IN: 52% reporting right now: McCain: 52 Obama: 47
NH: 41% reporting right now: Obama: 51 McCain: 47
VA: 40% reporting right now: Obama: 49 McCain: 49
OH: 20% reporting right now: Obama: 50 McCain: 48
NC: 24% reporting right now: McCain: 50 Obama: 48
FL: 38% reporting right now: McCain: 50 Obama: 49
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #6 on: August 12, 2008, 11:27:13 AM »

I love how Josh says this won't have his personal opinions, yet NC is still within 2%
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #7 on: August 12, 2008, 11:42:54 AM »

I love how Josh says this won't have his personal opinions, yet NC is still within 2%

NC was that close back in 2004 on election until around 8:15. Alot of the counties in the NE part of NC report first, and 99% of them counties are mainly black counties.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #8 on: August 12, 2008, 11:54:08 AM »

Its now 8:30 and AR polls have closed, we aren't going to make a call on AR yet, but our exit pollings says McCain leads in the state. But we do have some other calls to make:

We can now call MS and IN for John McCain.
We can now call CT and DE for Barack Obama

Lets look at the map.



McCain/Ridge: 86
Obama/Clark: 63
TCTC: 132



States still out:

NH: 50% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 48
VA: 49% reporting: McCain: 49 Obama: 49
OH: 32% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 49
NC: 38% reporting: McCain: 51 Obama: 48
NJ: 10% reporting: Obama: 53 McCain: 46
PA: 14% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 49
FL: 48% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 48
MO: 12% reporting: McCain: 51 Obama: 48
AR: 0% reporting:
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2008, 05:25:32 PM »

Welcom back, it now 9:00 pm EST and we have some calls to make.

We can call LA, SD, NE, WY, TX, AR and AZ for John McCain
We can all NY, RI, NJ and MN for Barack Obama

So lets look at the map:



McCain/Ridge: 156
Obama/Clark: 123
TCTC: 152



State that are TCTC:

NH: 62% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 48
VA: 65% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 49
OH: 51% reporting: McCain: 49 Obama: 49
NC: 49% reporting: McCain: 52 Obama: 47
PA: 25% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 49
FL: 58% reporting: McCain: 52 Obama: 47
MO: 30% reporting: McCain: 51 Obama: 48
MI: 29% reporitng: Obama: 49 McCain: 49
WI: 0% reporting:
CO: 0% reporting:
NM: 0% reporting:
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #10 on: August 12, 2008, 05:37:27 PM »

Indiana is way to close in all these scenarios. I know a few polls have shown it close, but no way a state that went 60% for Bush in 2004 is going to go to Obama or give him 48% of the vote. A reasonable prediction is McCain +8 - 10%
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #11 on: August 12, 2008, 05:38:26 PM »

Indiana is way to close in all these scenarios. I know a few polls have shown it close, but no way a state that went 60% for Bush in 2004 is going to go to Obama or give him 48% of the vote. A reasonable prediction is McCain +8 - 10%
Did you just try to use reasonable and Josh's statements in the same thought?
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #12 on: August 12, 2008, 06:31:54 PM »

Welcome back, it is now 9:45 pm EST and we have two big calls to make.

We can call NC and FL for John McCain.



McCain/Ridge: 198
Obama/Clark: 123
TCTC: 110



NH: 76% reporting: Obama: 51 McCain: 48
VA: 80% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 49
OH: 65% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 49
PA: 40% reporting: McCain: 49 Obama: 49
MO: 42% reporting: McCain: 52 Obama: 47
MI: 43% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 49
WI: 20% reporting: Obama: 51 McCain: 48
CO: 19% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 48
NM: 10% reporting: McCain: 49 Obama: 49
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #13 on: August 12, 2008, 08:11:11 PM »

Welcome back, it is now 10:00pm EST and we have a call to make.

We can call UT for John McCain!

Lets look at the EV map.



McCain/Ridge: 203
Obama/Clark: 123
TCTC: 125



NH: 82% reporting: Obama: 52 McCain: 47
VA: 85% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 48
OH: 72% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 48
PA: 59% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 49
MO: 58% reporting: McCain: 51 Obama: 48
MI: 60% reporting: Obama: 49 McCain: 49
WI: 45% reporting: Obama: 52 McCain: 47
CO: 49% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain 48
NM: 25% reporitng: Obama: 51 McCain: 48
IA: 0% reporting:
MT: 0% reporting:
NV: 0% reporting:
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #14 on: August 12, 2008, 08:35:16 PM »

Indiana is way to close in all these scenarios. I know a few polls have shown it close, but no way a state that went 60% for Bush in 2004 is going to go to Obama or give him 48% of the vote. A reasonable prediction is McCain +8 - 10%
Did you just try to use reasonable and Josh's statements in the same thought?

It's not just Josh's though. I've read all of these going on, and one guy even had Obama winning Indiana. It's not gonna happen.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #15 on: August 12, 2008, 08:39:24 PM »

Indiana is way to close in all these scenarios. I know a few polls have shown it close, but no way a state that went 60% for Bush in 2004 is going to go to Obama or give him 48% of the vote. A reasonable prediction is McCain +8 - 10%
Did you just try to use reasonable and Josh's statements in the same thought?

It's not just Josh's though. I've read all of these going on, and one guy even had Obama winning Indiana. It's not gonna happen.

You may be right, we haven't had a IN from anyone but SUSA. Rasy need to poll IN not MA.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #16 on: August 12, 2008, 10:12:06 PM »

Welcome back, it is now 11:00 pm EST and we have some calls to make:

We can call ID for John McCain!
We can call WA, CA and HI for Barack Obama!

Lets look at he map.



McCain/Ridge: 207
Obama/Clark: 193
TCTC: 135



State that are TCTC:

NH: 92% reporting: Obama: 53 McCain: 46
VA: 96% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 49
OH: 89% reporting: McCain: 49 Obama: 49
PA: 70% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 48
MO: 71% reporting: McCain: 52 Obama: 47
MI: 75% reporting: Obama: 51 McCain: 48
WI: 62% reporting: Obama: 54 McCain: 45
CO: 60% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 49
NM: 49% reporitng: Obama: 52 McCain: 47
IA: 25% reporting: Obama: 51 McCain: 47
MT: 21% reporting: McCain: 52  Obama: 46
NV: 30% reporting: McCain: 49 Obama: 48
ND: 25% reporting: McCain: 51 Obama: 47
OR: 10% reporting: McCain: 53 Obama: 46
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #17 on: August 13, 2008, 07:58:10 PM »

Welcome back it is now 11:45pm EST and we have some big calls to make.

We can call NH and WI for Barack Obama
We can call MT, ND and MO for John McCain.

Lets look at the EV map:



McCain/Ridge: 224
Obama/Clark: 207
TCTC: 104



VA: 98% reporting: Obama: 49 McCain: 49
OH: 96% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 49
PA: 88% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 49
MI: 90% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 48
CO: 78% reporting: Obama: 51 McCain: 48
NM: 59% reporting: Obama: 51 McCain: 48
IA: 48% reporting: Obama: 52 McCain: 47
NV: 50% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 48
OR: 35% reporting: Obama: 52 McCain: 47
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #18 on: August 14, 2008, 07:21:52 PM »

Breaking News!!!!!
It is now 12:00am EST and we have three huge calls to make.

We can call VA and OH for Barack Obama. 
End Results: VA: Obama: 49.8 McCain: 49.2 Other: 1
                     OH: Obama: 50.2 McCain: 49.3 Other: .5

We can call MI for John McCain.
End Results: MI: McCain: 49.3  Obama: 49.1 Other: 1.6

Lets look at the EV map...



McCain/Ridge: 241
Obama/Clark: 240
TCTC: 57



States still out:

PA: 90% reporting: McCain: 49 Obama: 49
CO: 88% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 49
NM: 70% reporting: Obama: 51 McCain: 48
IA: 55% reporting: Obama: 52 McCain: 47
NV: 52% reporting: McCain: 50 Obama: 49
OR: 48% reporting: Obama: 53 McCain: 46
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #19 on: August 15, 2008, 05:36:37 PM »

Welcome back it is now 12: 30am EST

We can call IA and OR for Barack Obama
We can also call AK and PA for John McCain

Lets look at he map...



McCain/Ridge: 265
Obama/Clark: 254
TCTC: 19



CO: 90% reporting: Obama: 50 McCain: 49
NM: 88% reporting: Obama: 51 McCain: 48
NV: 66% reporting: Obama: 49 McCain: 49
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #20 on: August 16, 2008, 06:58:12 PM »

Oh my god, this is even worse.
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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« Reply #21 on: August 17, 2008, 09:53:48 PM »

Quite possibly, at least there aren't 24 retractions this time
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #22 on: August 17, 2008, 09:54:24 PM »


Agreed.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #23 on: December 06, 2012, 04:45:38 PM »

Four years is a little late for a bump...
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #24 on: December 06, 2012, 06:26:15 PM »

Lol at everyone who thought IN would be solid McCain.
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