FL-PPP: TIE
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Author Topic: FL-PPP: TIE  (Read 1541 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: October 28, 2016, 09:52:06 AM »

Rubio - 46%
Murphy - 46%

PPP surveyed 742 likely Florida voters from October 25-26, 2016.

*Poll was sponsored by Americans for Responsible Solutions PAC.

http://www.politico.com/states/f/?id=00000158-0ab5-d236-ad5d-dab74e5e0001
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2016, 09:55:05 AM »

Democratic Internal Great News!
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2016, 09:59:34 AM »


This has been mentioned before, but PPP is a well known reputable public pollster that also conducts private polling. While this poll is sponsored by another group, they don't conduct the polls.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2016, 10:01:35 AM »

Freedom poll! This little guy might go down!
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Cashew
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2016, 10:02:05 AM »

It's happening gif!
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syntaxerror
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2016, 10:12:18 AM »

Most reputable pollsters are showing this within striking distance. Come on Murphy, kill Rubio's career.
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windjammer
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2016, 10:13:47 AM »

I'm sceptical
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2016, 10:35:37 AM »

lol. PPP has always found very weak numbers for Rubio, especially in those polls conducted for liberal Democratic groups.
Agree. The only two polls that had Rubio trailing were both PPP polls paid for by left wing advocacy groups.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2016, 10:39:14 AM »

Is the fiction being dispelled?
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Figueira
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2016, 10:44:12 AM »

Still Lean R, but this is good news for Murphy compared to previously.
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Vosem
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2016, 11:00:27 AM »

The problem with internals -- even ones conducted by reputable pollsters -- is that, especially if you are a well-funded organization like a SuperPAC, you can conduct as many as you want and then release only the one that reinforces the narrative you want. (Drug companies use a similar tactic; conduct a bunch of studies on the effects of a drug, only publish the one which has the most favorable results).

Even then, Murphy is only up to a tie, not an outright lead, and considering how narrow Rubio's lead is, considering the polling average and early vote data, we should actually expect some polls to show Murphy ahead. Still no reason to be alarmed.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2016, 11:35:39 AM »

Not buying it.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2016, 04:44:28 PM »

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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2016, 04:47:16 PM »

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DrScholl
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« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2016, 04:59:10 PM »

The DSCC did opt to return to the race. They wouldn't have done that unless there was a real chance.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2016, 10:49:24 PM »

Not surprised. Murphy is an unstoppable titan. D+1
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mencken
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« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2016, 10:50:26 PM »

The problem with internals -- even ones conducted by reputable pollsters -- is that, especially if you are a well-funded organization like a SuperPAC, you can conduct as many as you want and then release only the one that reinforces the narrative you want. (Drug companies use a similar tactic; conduct a bunch of studies on the effects of a drug, only publish the one which has the most favorable results).

Even then, Murphy is only up to a tie, not an outright lead, and considering how narrow Rubio's lead is, considering the polling average and early vote data, we should actually expect some polls to show Murphy ahead. Still no reason to be alarmed.

Why does this simple fact not penetrate people's skulls?
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #17 on: October 29, 2016, 07:08:31 AM »

The problem with internals -- even ones conducted by reputable pollsters -- is that, especially if you are a well-funded organization like a SuperPAC, you can conduct as many as you want and then release only the one that reinforces the narrative you want. (Drug companies use a similar tactic; conduct a bunch of studies on the effects of a drug, only publish the one which has the most favorable results).

Even then, Murphy is only up to a tie, not an outright lead, and considering how narrow Rubio's lead is, considering the polling average and early vote data, we should actually expect some polls to show Murphy ahead. Still no reason to be alarmed.

Exactly, they aren't gonna release internals with Rubio winning in the high single digits.
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Xing
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« Reply #18 on: October 29, 2016, 11:36:00 AM »

I mean, I think Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart is going to win, but I wouldn't dismiss this poll so quickly. It had Hillary +4 (perfectly in line with other polls.)
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