CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[Oryxslayer]

Feels like I'm the only person rooting for Cuomo and Ocasio-Cortez.

I would imagine thats the typical republican line: both seats are safely blue, so lets get the more conservative dem in one and knock out a leadership candidate in the other. But Cuomo isn't on the ballot today, so you don't need to chear for him today.

[Oryxslayer]

I was the 63rd voter of the day at my polling place at 3:50.   That's pretty low.

At 4pm, the polling station I was at in Montgomery County had 224 dem votes cast and 21 reps. No idea how that matches this regions history.

[Oryxslayer]

Do you guys think Grimm would lose the GE? I think it would move from Likely R to Tossup/Tilt R if Grimm wins tonight, I still think he would edge out for now though, but idk a lot about this place, so I would love if someone could give me their takes here.

Whats more interesting would be if Grimm loses and then proceeds to take his Conservative ballot line to November. Then we have a three way race and the race still moves to Tossup.

[Oryxslayer]

Dems doing really well in turnout compared to Reps in Oklahoma, defiantly a sleeper race, but one that could flip thanks to Republican mismanagement

OK is a closed primary state with a lot of dixie dems. Don't disagree with you, but this is a bad data point for that argument.

[Oryxslayer]

Ocasio Cortez leading!

By 9 votes. lol

Interestingly she's also presently leading in Queens. Lets see if that holds.

[Oryxslayer]

Crowley going for a ride right now...On the other hand, Donovan looks to be cruising. Dems better hope Grimm takes the conservative line in November.

[Oryxslayer]

Outside of crowley...Maloney is doing less then good, but she will probably survive.

[Oryxslayer]

Considering how low the turnout is and how well the prog challengers are doing, I think we can conclude that this election kinda resembles a caucus in who is showing up - the most motivated and therefore the very partisan.

[Oryxslayer]

Will Jealous' lead hold?

There are probably more votes in DC then Baltimore...

[Oryxslayer]

It's just bizarre to me that a self-avowed socialist is crushing a long time incumbent in an upper class/upper income and historically center-left district of NYC.

I'm not sure what this is intended to imply, but the district is not upper class. MHI is $50K as of 2014.

The Queens Democratic Party boss, Joe Crowley, is losing.

By the way, this is still a white-ethnic centered district, NY-14.

I wonder if the NY GOP can take this seat from the socialist.

White ethnics don't like socialism.

Morris Park, City Island, Throggs Neck are some of the most conservative areas in the Northeast.

Are you two confusing this with another district?

Nah Bronz constantly tries to believe it is still the 90s, and this isn't the first time: He called Nassau a GOP county, Orange County CA a titanium GOP county, a D+25 seat in this area a possible GOP pickup, and originally NJ-11 safe R because of suburban Rs. Its why I put him on Ignore.

[Oryxslayer]

It's just bizarre to me that a self-avowed socialist is crushing a long time incumbent in an upper class/upper income and historically center-left district of NYC.

I'm not sure what this is intended to imply, but the district is not upper class. MHI is $50K as of 2014.

The Queens Democratic Party boss, Joe Crowley, is losing.

By the way, this is still a white-ethnic centered district, NY-14.

I wonder if the NY GOP can take this seat from the socialist.

White ethnics don't like socialism.

Morris Park, City Island, Throggs Neck are some of the most conservative areas in the Northeast.

Are you two confusing this with another district?

Nah Bronz constantly tries to believe it is still the 90s, and this isn't the first time: He called Nassau a GOP county, Orange County CA a titanium GOP county, a D+25 seat in this area a possible GOP pickup, and originally NJ-11 safe R because of suburban Rs. Its why I put him on Ignore.

Just re-quoting this so that people don't feed the troll.

[Oryxslayer]

Donovan broke Grimm in half like a boy.

It's been speculated elsewhere, but can Grimm run as the Conservative?

Yes. But will he? Probably not considering he was kinda cordial tonight.