MI: Foster McCollum White & Associates: Obama with a 2% Lead (within the MoE); Ficano Hurting Obama (user search)
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  MI: Foster McCollum White & Associates: Obama with a 2% Lead (within the MoE); Ficano Hurting Obama (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI: Foster McCollum White & Associates: Obama with a 2% Lead (within the MoE); Ficano Hurting Obama  (Read 5911 times)
cinyc
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« on: June 14, 2012, 05:07:34 PM »


There was no push polling here.  Question order matters.  That question was asked after the Presidential horse race question, not before.  
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2012, 03:44:44 PM »
« Edited: June 15, 2012, 03:48:40 PM by cinyc »


Then how exactly is anyone being pushed in this poll?  You have two unrelated questions - the horse race question followed by a question asking whether a local scandal affected your answer to the horse race question.  Nobody was pushed to answer anything.  The local scandal question is designed to gauge to what extent a local scandal hurts up ticket voters - negative reverse coattails.

A push poll is one where a pollster first asks something like "Candidate X has been known to beat his wife.  Would that make you more or less likely to vote for Candidate X?", usually followed by similar questions that cast a negative light on Candidate X, followed by the horse race question (i.e. "If the election were held today, would you vote for X or Y?").  All the negative information about X pushes on-the-fence voters to say they'd vote for Y, even if they would have voted for X had the horse race question been asked first or previous questions had given a more balanced view of candidate X.  There was no push polling here, because the horse race question was asked first.
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