National Tracking Poll Thread

[Joe Biden 2020]

THE DEBATE BOUNCE HAS ARRIVED

Let's not get ahead of ourselves here. I think everyone might be jinxing it; watch Reuters and Wash Post show steady or bounce Romney. Was media coverage even good enough for Obama to get a bounce?

This.  Two polls, Rassy and Gallup still show Romney ahead, Rassy by 4 and Gallup by 3.  Rassy is partisan, but they're still a valid pollster.  The Gallup poll yesterday showed Romney up by 5, so a debate "bounce" that still puts your opponent ahead in the poll, is something I would pass on.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I echo the calls we should all take a deep breath.  These polls today have by no means sealed the deal for Obama, in fact, we know absolutely nothing more today than we did yesterday, and we knew nothing more yesterday than we did Monday.  The only thing more we know today is we have 13 days left instead of the 14 we had yesterday and the 15 we had Monday.  In fact, with it being after 6:00 on the East Coast, we're rapidly knocking it down to 12 days.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Still waiting on ABC/Washington Post though. When does that usually come out?

Politico.com shows the ABC/WaPo poll with a 1 point Romney lead - 49-48.  It was conducted Oct 20-23, so on both sides of the debate.

Here is the link on the WaPo website:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/10/23/post-abc-tracking-poll-romney-49-percent-obama-48/

[Joe Biden 2020]

WaPo/ABC poll is unchanged

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/10/24/post-abc-tracking-poll-obama-wins-final-debate-romney-gains-supporters/

It also says Obama only leads on the "understands economic problems of people like you" question by 5 points, 50-45. Highly doubt it, as most other pollsters have him up on that by double digits.

The latest poll has Obama leading 51-44 on that same question.  It has Romney leading 50-45 on who would better handle the economy and has Obama's approval/disapproval at 49/49.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Probably 10.

And... And.. And Sunday, umm we will be down to, uh, I think 9.

[Joe Biden 2020]

PPP gives the President a 49-48 lead.  The poll was conducted Oct 22-24, so 2/3 after the debate.

[Joe Biden 2020]

People on Daily Kos are saying there's a brand spankin' new Rand poll that says Obama is up by 6. I'm talking brand new, folks. But I haven't seen it mentioned here yet.

Nobody listens to Daily Kos.  They are too far to the left.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Gallup 10/26/12

Romney - 51
Obama - 46

Good grief, they are delusional.

Why? Because Romney is ahead? I don't know if you know this, but this election is far from over.  Nobody knows who is going to win.

[Joe Biden 2020]

What site can I go to other than politico that shows the national polls?  For some reason, Politico.com has no polls from today.  I don't know if there aren't any, or they just haven't updated them, yet.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Cool, thanks!

[Joe Biden 2020]

Why do the Dems on this board laugh at any poll that goes to two decimal points but treat Rand as a great pollster.

You have to remember the old rule.  If a poll favors Romney, throw it out.  If a poll favors Obama, keep it.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Why do the Dems on this board laugh at any poll that goes to two decimal points but treat Rand as a great pollster.

You have to remember the old rule.  If a poll favors Romney, throw it out.  If a poll favors Obama, keep it.

lol

Considering all the new Republican trolls on here....

We do have a lot more Republican trolls on here that we didn't have before the first debate.

The reverse of my rule applies with them.  Keep the Romney polls, but throw out the Obama polls.

So, what do we have to do?  Follow polnut's advice.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Torie, your argument is valid, but its not going to help because most on this forum believe Obama has this all sown up and that it would take hell to freeze over for Romney to win.  True, there are a few Republicans who think the exact opposite, but far more Democrats think Obama has this in the bag and they refuse to call each other out.

As for me, I think Obama will win, but by no means does he have this in the bag.

[Joe Biden 2020]

What Democrats think Obama is a lock to win? I certainly don't.

Favorite? Probably. Lock? No way.

Bushie is just having a crisis of Moderate Heroism.

People may not personally think Obama's a lock, but it sure sounds that way from the posts.  I agree that he's probably the favorite, but he's far from a lock.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Torie, your argument is valid, but its not going to help because most on this forum believe Obama has this all sown up and that it would take hell to freeze over for Romney to win.  True, there are a few Republicans who think the exact opposite, but far more Democrats think Obama has this in the bag and they refuse to call each other out.

As for me, I think Obama will win, but by no means does he have this in the bag.

Just go back to supporting Romney. It'll make you feel better and it'll improve your "independent minded" credentials.

While I won't be upset if Romney wins, I just can't vote for him.  He has said some things that make me a little leary.  I think he would make a good president, and I like him as a person (said very few ever), but I think President Obama needs time to continue what he's started.  Everybody knew it would take more than 4 years to clean up the mess that Bush left.  He's done a pretty good job so far with what he's been given, but he needs more time.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I agree with Torie, whoever wins is not going to have a very fun 4 years.  Nothing will get done.  The Republicans will pout and cry and mope and block everything Obama wants to do.  Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will give Mitch McConnell a dose of his own medicine with the mantra "our goal is to make Romney a one-term president" and then pout and cry and mope and cry foul and block everything Romney wants to do.  I'm not exactly optimistic about getting things done in the next four years.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I agree with Torie, whoever wins is not going to have a very fun 4 years.  Nothing will get done.  The Republicans will pout and cry and mope and block everything Obama wants to do.  Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will give Mitch McConnell a dose of his own medicine with the mantra "our goal is to make Romney a one-term president" and then pout and cry and mope and cry foul and block everything Romney wants to do.  I'm not exactly optimistic about getting things done in the next four years.

And if that happens, it will be almost entirely because Akin and Mourdock didn't know when to stop talking...

Can't argue with that.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Gallup resumes polling tomorrow.

Well, that's unfortunate.

Meh, just take their polls, and all polls, with a grain of salt.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Gallup will not be releasing polls again until Monday.

That poll will probably be the final poll since it is Election Day Eve.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Oh boy, someone slipped Lief something funky today.

What was in last night's candy?

Warning to parents:  Inspect the candy your child receives at Halloween or else cases like this will be the result.

[Joe Biden 2020]

National polls still mean nothing to me at this point. Large parts of the northeast still have no power.

In fact, many families have decided to escape New Jersey and Long Island for at least the weekend. Quite a few of them are staying at hotels in upstate New York (among other places).

Have you heard from Tweed?