US House Redistricting: Arizona (user search)
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Author Topic: US House Redistricting: Arizona  (Read 70745 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« on: March 15, 2011, 11:28:32 AM »

Come on guys! Three Hispanics CDs is doable. Wink
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2011, 11:18:57 AM »
« Edited: March 16, 2011, 03:38:29 PM by Pacific Councilor realisticidealist »

As to realistic's question - yes, it can be done. The continous >20% Hispanic areas in Maricopa, not touching on Grijalva's district as I drew it before, are just about the right size for two CDs. Split it down the middle, and the eastern one is 51-34 (44-41 VAP) Hispanic, with enough Blacks and Libruls to continue to elect Pastor, no problems at all, and the western one extends to the county line (I had to move one precinct in Yavapai to CD2 to keep it continuous Cheesy ), is 53-34 (48-40 VAP), and again has quite a few Blacks - in Maricopa, they mostly live in Hispanic-dominated parts of Phoenix proper. So yeah, if the Commission absolutely wanted to, it could draw a map that would likely elect the Hispanic Democrats most years.

I drew one that had three Hispanic districts all with >50% Hispanic VAP, but it wasn't terribly pretty.

EDIT: Here is my second quick attempt at it. My first one had better numbers, but this one still works. Yellow is 50.4% Hispanic VAP, Silver is 50.7% Hispanic VAP, and Cyan is 50.2% Hispanic VAP.



I'm sure someone could do a cleaner version.
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