End of 2017: Is Trump favored to be re-elected? (user search)
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  End of 2017: Is Trump favored to be re-elected? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: End of 2017: Is Trump favored to be re-elected?
#1
Trump is favored to be re-elected
 
#2
Trump is more likely to lose re-election
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 158

Author Topic: End of 2017: Is Trump favored to be re-elected?  (Read 3079 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,247
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: December 31, 2017, 12:03:07 PM »

?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,247
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: January 01, 2018, 05:40:52 PM »

Here is something everybody seems to forget...Trump had a 38.7% approval rating on Election Day, and he won 306 EV’s. Obviously his EC spread was extremely efficient, but he still outperformed his approval rating by 7.4% in the PV.

I think this is where the left (and a lot of the right) totally underestimates Trump. He has an uncanny ability to earn the votes of people who don’t like him personally. He isn’t a typical presidential candidate inasmuch as needing a ~50% approval rating to win an election. There are a whole lot of voters, especially in the Rust Belt, who have no compunction about voting for Trump even though they think he is an a$$hole.

If I were a Democrat, I’d be very concerned if Trump’s approval rating is anywhere above 40% come 2020. And if it is hovering around 50% like a previous poster predicted it could be, I’d brace for a 1988/2008 style victory.
That had far more to do with his opponent than him.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,247
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: January 01, 2018, 10:36:50 PM »

The Democrats retaking Congress sure didn't help the Republicans in 2008.
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