Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (user search)
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  Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (search mode)
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Author Topic: Georgia's Very Own Megathread!  (Read 318118 times)
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« on: December 05, 2017, 10:14:23 PM »
« edited: December 05, 2017, 10:39:53 PM by Emily’s List »

As bad as Lance Bottoms is doing in Buckhead, Norwood isn't faring that much better in the south side either. I think Bottoms is favoured at this point, seeing as the south side has a larger share of the population.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2017, 11:13:32 PM »

Bottoms now up 52-48 with 89% reporting.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2017, 11:18:09 PM »

After eyeballing the remaining dozen or so precincts left to report, I'm 99% sure Keisha Lance Bottoms is going to win. The precincts are split somewhat evenly between Bottoms and Norwood precincts, with probably a few more Bottoms precincts.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: December 05, 2017, 11:20:26 PM »

To someone who has been watching the precinct map... is it me or did Bottoms flip some of those DeKalb precincts from Norwood as the night wore on? I thought Norwood would win that handily but now it looks like she underperformed.

She did, but the ones she flipped were majority black anyway, so it wasn't a big surprise.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #4 on: December 05, 2017, 11:27:03 PM »

The "east precincts" are empty precincts, they didn't have any votes in November, they won't have any votes tonight. All the remaining votes are scattered around Fulton County.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #5 on: December 05, 2017, 11:46:37 PM »

07J (Buckhead precinct)
09A (Norwood precinct)
11P (Bottoms precinct)
06I (Bottoms precinct)
07N (Bottoms precinct)
07E (Norwood precinct)
07D (Norwood precinct)
07A (Norwood precinct)
06E (Norwood precinct)
01I (small voter precinct)
03I (small voter precinct)
10M (Bottoms precinct)
03S (Bottoms precinct)

There should be 5 more precincts, but that may be the empty precincts.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #6 on: December 05, 2017, 11:54:17 PM »
« Edited: December 05, 2017, 11:58:14 PM by Emily’s List »

07J (Buckhead precinct)
09A (Norwood precinct)
11P (Bottoms precinct)

06I (Bottoms precinct)
07N (Bottoms precinct)
07E (Norwood precinct)
07D (Norwood precinct)
07A (Norwood precinct)
06E (Norwood precinct)
01I (small voter precinct)
03I (small voter precinct)
10M (Bottoms precinct)
03S (Bottoms precinct)

The last 3 precincts are the empty DeKalb precincts. With that, it should be safe to say that Keisha Lance Bottoms is the winner.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #7 on: December 05, 2017, 11:58:45 PM »

There's one last precinct outstanding that I can't find, and it's driving me nuts, but yeah, at least 4/5 remaining precincts are empty.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #8 on: December 06, 2017, 12:01:17 AM »

With 100% of the precincts recorded, Keisha Lance Bottoms is leading by 759 votes, or 0.008% of the vote.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #9 on: December 06, 2017, 12:10:10 AM »

There's Trumpers on PredictIt claiming there are still Dekalb precincts left to count?
Everybody keeps mentioning the empty precincts. There are literally no voters there, lol.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #10 on: December 06, 2017, 12:10:43 AM »

Good night for all the EMILY’s List ladies. All of them won!
One more left tonight, Wendy Carrillo in California. She's off to a 10 point lead, hopefully it sticks.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #11 on: December 06, 2017, 12:19:26 AM »

There's probably gonna be a recount but let's remember that Reed didn't lose a single vote in 2009 during that recount.

Electronic voting, so not much a recount, but rather an audit.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #12 on: February 06, 2018, 11:45:50 PM »

Is the GA Dem primary electorate usually that black? 65% seems pretty high.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #13 on: April 07, 2018, 11:27:24 PM »

Here's a stream of a debate Evans and Abrams had last night hosted by the Georgia Association of Black Women Attorneys.

https://gsu.hosted.panopto.com/Panopto/Pages/Viewer.aspx?id=063d33d6-793e-4c40-a9cc-a8b800dfca9d

That’s a very specific organization.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #14 on: May 22, 2018, 06:43:29 PM »

I might be wrong, but I think that John Barrow is going to lose to Dee Dawkins-Haigler. I just can't see him doing well in the Atlanta metro, and this is sorta 2018's theme.
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Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,805
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

« Reply #15 on: July 18, 2018, 02:33:45 PM »

Trump endorsed Kemp. It’s gonna be Kemp vs. Abrams in the Fall!
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