Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.
Great analysis, they'll have you on TV in no time.
Thanks man, but it's too early to accept #accolades
Also keep in mind that Hassan has a history of outperforming the polls on election day because of her strong ground game. She was ahead by 5 in the RCP average in 2012, but she beat that random male by 12 in the end. I expect a repeat this time. Ayotte won't lose by as much as Trump because she's a woman, but she can't win this race (I'd say her absolute ceiling is 48%).
Nice way of ignoring 2014.