The suburbs are only getting bluer, so for anyone to have this as anything but a tossup doesn't make much sense.
Suburbs are turning more blue if we follow the trends of the past two election cycles but winning a pretty red district in midterms is much different then winning when the presidents on the ballot and when you have challengers that can win back some suburban votes (middle aged, white, women) so it’s not so crazy to say Horns district is Lean R.
So it will be worse? Polling shows Trump is very unpopular in this district,
Link to this poll you mention? Trump won this seat by 10.
