2004 Democratic Primary

[Platypus]

I'm saying Republicans 271-267 Democrats

DEMOCRAT

Hawaii
Washington
Oregon
California
New Mexico
Iowa
Wisconsin
Louisiana
Mississippi
New York
Vermont
New Hampshire
Maine
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Connecticut
Michigan
Illinois
Kentucky (?)
West Virginia
DC
Virginia
South Carolina
Maryland
Delaware

REPUBLICAN

Alaska
Arizona
Colorado
Utah
Nevada
Idaho
Wyoming
Montana
North Dakota
South Dakota
Nebraska
Kansas
Oklahoma
Texas
Arkansas
Misouri
Minnesota (?)
Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Tennessee
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Ohio
Indiana
New Jersey

Bit controvertial, I know, but definently possible.

Change Kentucky to Republican and they win 279 to 259

Change Minnesota to Democrat and they win 277 to 261

[Platypus]

Mississippi is changing-their governor is a democrat and they had a high (for them) vote for Gore in 2000 (45% IIRC)

Given the right push, I can see it going towards the Democrats.

I concede I might be a bit ambitious giving them South Carolina; it has been republican since 1980, but I could see it if Edwards was the VP candidate.

Virginia has ben won by Republicans for a while, but by slim margins-Bush was a statistical err in 2000-Clinton lost it in 1996 by a very slim margin-and Carter also came close tom winning it.

I see New Jersey as carring the incumbent, basically because of world events-it is my impression the new jersey have been significantly affected by 9/11 and have become more conservative because of it-I see it as a close race, and I think that the surburbanites will turn republican-it happened with George Bush sn., he won much of northern new jersey in 1992.

(sources, of course, from this website)

[Platypus]

You"re dreaming if you think conservative Va, Mississippi, or South Carolina vote will vote Dem.  I've said this before but kerry, Dean, and company couldn't carry those states if Robert E. Lee was their VP.  And kentucky?  Come on.  Don't look for any Dem noninee to even set foot in those states.  However, I'd love for them to waste time and resources there.  It would be about like the money and time Bush wasted in California the last wk of the 2000 campaign.

Clinton carried kentucky both times, IIRC...

[Platypus]

IOWA

1. East Iowa (Dubuque is a town further up from me, I wouldn't want to live in a district named after the town )
2. Cedar (Cedar Rapids, Cedar county, etc)
3. Hoover-the Iowan president!
4. Winnebago will do
5. Siouxlands

[Platypus]

I don't really like geographical names all that much; especially when they involve one town out of twenty.

Upper Mississippi is OK< though

I think IL 17 should be called Riverside; it stretches right along the Mississippi.

[Platypus]

As I sais, i'm not a big fan of geographical names, in terms of counties or towns.

things like rivers are good though. Here are my proposals form Alabama and Alaska; using suggestions by others as my basic and changing/editing them where I thought it would be better.

Alabama
1-La Mobile
2-Escambia (River in the area)
3-Cherokee
4-Pickney
5-Lesser Cumberlands (Using htmldon's Upper Cumberlands as reference here, not sure if it fits geographically, but it does ound nice )
6-Jefferson
7-Warrior (Black Warrior River; the Black would be a bit too controvertial for an Alabaman river, I believe)

Alaska
1-Bering (although I also quite like Seward)

more to come

[Platypus]

Arizona
1-Painted Lands (After the Painted Desert)
2-Mojave (proper spelling )
3-Maricopa (County)
4-Pheonix (it is so completely dominant in the distrcit, it couldnt be overlooked)
5-Roosevelt (Roosevelt Dam, and two presidents...)
6-Apache (Apache Junction)
7-Gila (River)
8-Chiricahua (mountain in SE AZ)

I especially like Chiricahua, lovely name

[Platypus]

It's late, and i'm tired-snow day tomorrow, at least-so these are trhe last for tonight/this mornign

Arkansas
1-Monroe
2-Little Rock
3-Clinton (He was a President from Arkansas. Seems like if he gets one, it should be down there)
4-Quapaw

See you all later

[Platypus]

I try to avoid geographic names unless:

1. They are natural geographic names, like rivers, mountains, etc.
2. One city/town/county is so dominant it cannot be overlooked
3. Two or more cities/counties/towns share a similar name
4. That name is historic.

They just sound too boring, and similar.

[Platypus]

can you link me to taht site?

i remember seeing it for the QC elections a year or so ago; it's very interesting.

Also, why AFIP? As I said there, I like you but it's not your type of politics, I thought :confused:

[Platypus]

lol, in AUS we say 'a long walk off a short pier'

Laguage differences are funny

My wishlist: The Liberals orm a minority goverment, the NDP gets heaps of seats, the BQ get at least under 60 seats. Likelyhood of all three? marginla, but maybe one or two will happen.

[Platypus]

Election Prediction Project's final numbers:

LPC 121
CPC 105
NDP   29
BQ     52
Ind      1

They've done pretty well for the minor parties, but not with the Lib/Con...