Kentucky - OFFICIAL rumors and results thread

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So, will Obama carry any counties?

The sort of counties to watch are the same sort as in WV. It's interesting to note that in WV some traditionally Republican counties went monolithically for Clinton, while in others Obama polled fairly respectably. The last two words being relative terms.

Recap:

*counties with large student populations
*'' '' of people in professional occupations*
*'' '' blacks
*'' '' working in the public sector, civil service especially.
*'' '' traditionally Republican (but see above)

Are the ones to watch. If he wins anywhere that can't be fitted into the above, then he's done well.

*How much research into the difference in voting patterns between people with professional occupations on the one hand and managerial occupations on the other has there been in the U.S. [qm]. I've noticed certain patterns from census data and have come to my own conclusions already, but all the same...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Turnout is projected to reach around 25%.

I think that's lower than in Maes-G a few weeks back... higher than where I live though!

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Low turnot might actually help Obama in KY, no?

Might do. Might also be very bad news indeed. The issue is whether it is caused by Clinton supporters staying at home, or whether it is normal low turnout (if so then an even more disproportionate share than normal of the vote be cast by the elderly).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Turnout is projected to reach around 25%.

I think that's lower than in Maes-G a few weeks back... higher than where I live though!

No. Wait. That's turnout of Democrats only, right [qm]. What's half of 25%. Uh. 10. Two. A half. 12.5%. Hah.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

25% may actually be overall in Kentucky, which would likely put Democratic turnout higher...although still not necessarily un-low.

Oh damn. C'mon, beat Deiniol ward for awful, tragicomic turnouts!

Edit:

Deiniol

D.Llewelyn   PC   104  Elected
G.A.Roberts Lab   88   Elected
J.R.Jones    LDem  63

About 1,400 people live in Deiniol. In the above election (for the City Council) you got two votes each...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Historically at least, Paducah is Dixiecrat land. An Obama win there would be impressive.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Here's to ignoring Appalachia for another four years after this!

"People who vote different to the way I'd like them to are evil"

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So, um, why does Edwards suck so much?

The sort of areas where he's prone to do well aren't in yet. Wait and see.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Here's to ignoring Appalachia for another four years after this!

"People who vote different to the way I'd like them to are evil"

No, it's closer to "People who decide their vote on illegitimate reasons suck."

Who are you to declare what is or isn't a legitimate reason to vote one way or other [question mark].

And what makes you so sure that you know why people there are voting the way that they are [question mark].

[Filuwaúrdjan]

You mean Western KY right? 

Yep

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Clinton took 93% in Magoffin. About three thousand voted in the Democrat primary, about three hundred in the Republican one.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Heehee... only 25 people voted in the Republican primary in Elliot.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Clinton took 93% in Magoffin. About three thousand voted in the Democrat primary, about three hundred in the Republican one.

Elliott County is even better - 98.6% Democratic.  The Republican candidates combined managed to match "Uncommitted Democrat."

I just posted the raw figure, but still. lolz.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Two:  Jefferson (I think...the election results site seems messed up for that county at the moment) and Fayette.

ie; Louisville and Lexington. Some outre places he might win allszo

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The idea that Edwards ever had significant working-class support was essentially a myth.

Yep. He always was more a candidate of rural whites.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Chris, that's total rubbish. It was in excellent taste.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Chris, that's total rubbish. It was in excellent taste.

It's good taste to hang up Kennedy's diagnosis and treat it like election returns, highlighting how "we want to avoid this area here," and, "well, Kennedy is going to want a non-surgical treatment it the tumor is here, because that's the speech and motor skill center of the brain... and for a man so dependent on those things..." well, are you suggesting that other people need to be able to walk and talk less than Kennedy?  I didn't quite understand what he was going for there, other than to put in some filler while the plugged an advertisement for their "GE technology" which they said about four times.  It was very strange, very crass, and just bad in general.

The comment about "excellent taste" was in reference to your comment, not the media coverage.