NH-CBS/YouGov: Hassan +1 (user search)
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  NH-CBS/YouGov: Hassan +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-CBS/YouGov: Hassan +1  (Read 787 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« on: August 14, 2016, 11:59:46 AM »

Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.

Great analysis, they'll have you on TV in no time.

Thanks man, but it's too early to accept #accolades Wink

Also keep in mind that Hassan has a history of outperforming the polls on election day because of her strong ground game. She was ahead by 5 in the RCP average in 2012, but she beat that random male by 12 in the end. I expect a repeat this time. Ayotte won't lose by as much as Trump because she's a woman, but she can't win this race (I'd say her absolute ceiling is 48%).

She doesn't always overperform. She was leading by double digits in early October 2014 but only won by 5 on election day - against a C-lister.
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